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Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) Stock Fundamentals, Analysis & Risk Signals

Health score, competitive moat, risk signals, and key metrics at a glance.

NYSE•Consumer Defensive•Farm Products
C
AverageMetricSide Score: 41/100
ProfitabilityProfit9/30
GrowthGrowth6/25
Balance SheetBalance17/25
Cash QualityCash9/20
Price & Volume
Market Cap $37.17B

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company provides human and animal nutrition ingredients and solutions in the United States, Switzerland, the Cayman Islands, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Ag Services and Oilseeds; Carbohydrate Solutions; and Nutrition. The company engages in the origination, merchandising, transportation, and storage of agricultural raw materials, as well as the crushing and processing of oilseeds, including soybeans and soft seeds, such as cottonseed, sunflower seed, canola, rapeseed, and flaxseed; produces and markets vegetable oils and oilseed protein meals used by food, feed, energy, and industrial customers; sale of crude and partially refined vegetable oils; supplies peanuts and peanut-derived ingredients; and manufactures cotton cellulose pulp. It is also involved in the grain sourcing, handling, and multimodal transportation network supporting import, export, and distribution activities; structured trade finance activities; corn and wheat wet and dry milling and related processing activities; production of distillers' grains, corn gluten feed, and corn gluten meal for use as animal feed ingredients; and carbon capture and sequestration and other emissions-reduction initiatives. In addition, the company engages in the creation, manufacturing, sale, and distribution of an array of ingredients and solutions comprising plant-based proteins, flavors and colors derived from nature, flavor systems, emulsifiers, soluble fiber, polyols, hydrocolloids, probiotics, prebiotics, postbiotics, enzymes, botanical extracts, and other specialty food and feed ingredients and systems. Further, it is involved in the derivatives and commodity exchanges and clearing houses; and insurance coverage for certain property, casualty, marine, medical, and other miscellaneous risks. The company was founded in 1902 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.

Moat Signals

Competitive analysis based on 64 quarters of fundamental data

Pricing Power

Moderate Moat

Operating margins are positive at ~1.6% on average, but show some variability — pricing power may be sensitive to market conditions.

Competitive Advantage

Moderate Moat

ROE is positive at ~6.8% on average, adequate but below the threshold typically associated with wide moats.

Cash Generation

Weak Moat

Only 4 of the last 8 quarters had positive FCF — the business may require external capital to sustain operations.

Demand Durability

Weak Moat

Revenue has been flat or declining over recent quarters, which may indicate eroding demand or competitive pressure.

Risk Signals

Data-driven red flags and warnings across 64 quarters

High Risk

Margin Pressure

Red Flag

Operating margins dropped 20.4% over recent quarters — a sharp decline suggesting serious cost or pricing challenges.

Earnings Quality

Red Flag

Free cash flow has been negative in 4 of the last 8 quarters — earnings are not translating to cash.

Leverage Risk

Healthy

D/E ratio is 0.3 — conservative capital structure with low financial risk.

Revenue Decline

Red Flag

Revenue declined in 5 of the last 7 quarters — persistent contraction signals a fundamental problem.

Cash Burn

Watch

4 of the last 8 quarters had negative FCF — inconsistent cash generation raises sustainability concerns.

Share Dilution

Healthy

Share count is stable — no significant dilution or buyback activity.

Metrics at a Glance

as of March 2026

Revenue & Profit

Revenue, EBITDA, operating income, net income, EPS, and shares

TTM Revenue
$80.58B
3.9%
Q. Revenue
$20.49B
TTM EBITDA
$2.27B
29.0%
TTM Op. Income
$1.08B
26.6%
Q. Op. Income
$314.00M
TTM Net Income
$1.08B
20.9%
Q. Net Income
$298.00M
EPS
$0.62
Shares Out.
$484.00M
0.2%
$80.58B in TTM revenue declined 3.9% YoY, reaching $20.49B last quarter. TTM EBITDA of $2.27B and TTM operating income of $1.08B shows growth is flowing through. Net income of $1.08B TTM confirms the company is converting revenue into profit. Revenue is contracting — assess whether this is cyclical or structural.

Margins

Gross, EBITDA, operating, and net margin trends

Gross Margin
6.0%
2.0%
EBITDA Margin
3.0%
Op. Margin
1.5%
7.4%
Net Margin
1.5%
0.5%
Op. margin of 1.5% is down 0.1% YoY — costs are rising relative to revenue. Net margin at 1.5% and gross margin of 6.0% — earnings take a bigger bite when COGS stays lean..

Price Ratios

P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and earnings yield

P/E Ratio
34.4x
P/S Ratio
0.5x
P/B Ratio
1.7x
At 34.4x P/E, the stock trades at a premium — the market expects above-average growth. P/S of 0.5x and P/B of 1.7x provide additional context. The premium P/E is not backed by strong revenue growth — the stock may be overvalued.

Assets & Liabilities

Total assets, cash, debt, book value, and leverage

Total Assets
$55.60B
Cash
$591.00M
Long-Term Debt
$6.46B
Book Value
$22.52B
D/E Ratio
0.3
Debt/EBITDA
10.6
With $55.60B in assets and $6.46B in long-term debt, the D/E of 0.3and book value of $22.52B — shows a conservative capital structure — the company has a strong financial cushion to weather downturns.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow, free cash flow, FCF margin, and earnings quality

Op. Cash Flow
$150.00M
Free Cash Flow
$-44.00M
93.0%
FCF Margin
-0.1%
FCF / Net Income
-0.1
FCF of $-44.00M on $150.00M in operating cash flow. The FCF / Net Income ratio of -0.0x shows cash consumption — the business is not yet self-funding.

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