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Affirm Holdings (AFRM) Stock Fundamentals, Analysis & Risk Signals

Health score, competitive moat, risk signals, and key metrics at a glance.

NasdaqGS•Financial Services•Credit Services
B
GoodMetricSide Score: 69/100
ProfitabilityProfit15/30
GrowthGrowth23/25
Balance SheetBalance13/25
Cash QualityCash18/20
Price & Volume
Market Cap $28.52B

Affirm Holdings, Inc. operates payment network in the United States, Canada, and internationally. Its platform includes point-of-sale payment solution for consumers, merchant commerce solutions, and a consumer-focused app. The company's commerce platform, agreements with originating banks, and capital markets partners enables consumers to pay for a purchase over time. It has active merchants covering small businesses, large enterprises, direct-to-consumer brands, brick-and-mortar stores, and companies with an omni-channel presence. The company's merchants represent a range of industries, including sporting goods and outdoors, home and lifestyle, travel and ticketing, electronics, fashion and beauty, equipment and auto, and general merchandise. Affirm Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

Moat Signals

Competitive analysis based on 22 quarters of fundamental data

Pricing Power

Weak Moat

Operating margins are under pressure, averaging 0.1%. The business may lack pricing power or face rising costs.'

Competitive Advantage

Weak Moat

ROE is low or negative, suggesting limited competitive advantage or capital allocation challenges.

Cash Generation

Strong Moat

Free cash flow is consistently positive and growing — a hallmark of a capital-light business that can self-fund growth.

Demand Durability

Strong Moat

TTM revenue has grown consistently (7 of 7 quarters up), with ~71.0% growth over the period. Strong demand durability.

Risk Signals

Data-driven red flags and warnings across 22 quarters

High Risk

Margin Pressure

Red Flag

The company posted negative operating margins in recent quarters — core operations are unprofitable.

Earnings Quality

Watch

FCF/Net Income has dropped below 0.7x in 3 quarters — monitor for earnings quality deterioration.

Leverage Risk

Watch

D/E ratio of 2.3 is elevated. Monitor for further debt accumulation.

Revenue Decline

Healthy

Revenue is stable or growing over recent quarters — demand appears durable.

Cash Burn

Healthy

Free cash flow is consistently positive — the business self-funds without external capital reliance.

Share Dilution

Red Flag

Shares outstanding increased 6.9% — significant dilution, likely from stock compensation or capital raises.

Metrics at a Glance

as of March 2026

Revenue & Profit

Revenue, EBITDA, operating income, net income, EPS, and shares

TTM Revenue
$3.97B
32.1%
Q. Revenue
$1.04B
TTM EBITDA
$608.17M
6735.7%
TTM Op. Income
$327.78M
249.8%
Q. Op. Income
$88.43M
TTM Net Income
$382.42M
714.9%
Q. Net Income
$102.90M
EPS
$0.31
Shares Out.
$337.14M
4.0%
$3.97B in TTM revenue grew 32.1% YoY, reaching $1.04B last quarter. TTM EBITDA of $608.17M and TTM operating income of $327.78M shows growth is flowing through. Net income of $382.42M TTM confirms the company is converting revenue into profit. Revenue is growing at a healthy pace — a signal to hold.

Margins

Gross, EBITDA, operating, and net margin trends

EBITDA Margin
15.7%
Op. Margin
8.5%
894.3%
Net Margin
9.9%
2666.7%
Op. margin of 8.5% is up 9.6% YoY — cost efficiency is improving. Net margin at 9.9%.

Price Ratios

P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and earnings yield

P/E Ratio
74.6x
P/S Ratio
7.2x
P/B Ratio
7.5x
At 74.6x P/E, the stock trades at a premium — the market expects above-average growth. P/S of 7.2x and P/B of 7.5x provide additional context. Assess whether the current multiple is justified by the company's growth and profitability trajectory.

Assets & Liabilities

Total assets, cash, debt, book value, and leverage

Total Assets
$13.14B
Cash
$1.72B
Long-Term Debt
$8.87B
Book Value
$3.78B
D/E Ratio
2.3
Debt/EBITDA
54.3
With $13.14B in assets and $8.87B in long-term debt, the D/E of 2.3and book value of $3.78B — indicates elevated leverage — the company has significant financial risk and may struggle in a downturn.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow, free cash flow, FCF margin, and earnings quality

Op. Cash Flow
$386.50M
Free Cash Flow
$325.10M
106.6%
FCF Margin
8.2%
FCF / Net Income
3.2
FCF of $325.10M on $386.50M in operating cash flow. The FCF / Net Income ratio of 0.9x means earnings are well backed by actual cash — high-quality earnings.

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