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AGNC Investment (AGNC) Stock Fundamentals, Analysis & Risk Signals

Health score, competitive moat, risk signals, and key metrics at a glance.

NasdaqGS•Real Estate•REIT - Mortgage
B
GoodMetricSide Score: 70/100
ProfitabilityProfit15/30
GrowthGrowth23/25
Balance SheetBalance17/25
Cash QualityCash15/20
Price & Volume
Market Cap $12.35B

AGNC Investment Corp. provides private capital to housing market in the United States. It invests in residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by the United States government-sponsored enterprise or by the United States government agency. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal or state corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. The company was formerly known as American Capital Agency Corp. and changed its name to AGNC Investment Corp. in September 2016. AGNC Investment Corp. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.

Moat Signals

Competitive analysis based on 60 quarters of fundamental data

Pricing Power

Moderate Moat

Operating margins are positive at ~283.3% on average, but show some variability — pricing power may be sensitive to market conditions.

Competitive Advantage

Moderate Moat

ROE is positive at ~8.3% on average, adequate but below the threshold typically associated with wide moats.

Cash Generation

Strong Moat

Free cash flow is consistently positive and growing — a hallmark of a capital-light business that can self-fund growth.

Demand Durability

Weak Moat

Revenue has been flat or declining over recent quarters, which may indicate eroding demand or competitive pressure.

Risk Signals

Data-driven red flags and warnings across 60 quarters

High Risk

Margin Pressure

Red Flag

Operating margins dropped 86.8% over recent quarters — a sharp decline suggesting serious cost or pricing challenges.

Earnings Quality

Red Flag

FCF consistently trails net income (avg 0.1x) — earnings may be inflated by non-cash items or aggressive accounting.

Leverage Risk

Healthy

D/E ratio is 0.0 — conservative capital structure with low financial risk.

Revenue Decline

Healthy

Revenue is stable or growing over recent quarters — demand appears durable.

Cash Burn

Healthy

Free cash flow is consistently positive — the business self-funds without external capital reliance.

Share Dilution

Red Flag

Shares outstanding increased 51.7% — significant dilution, likely from stock compensation or capital raises.

Metrics at a Glance

as of March 2026

Revenue & Profit

Revenue, EBITDA, operating income, net income, EPS, and shares

TTM Revenue
$835.00M
303.4%
Q. Revenue
$319.00M
TTM EBITDA
$569.00M
2809.5%
TTM Op. Income
$569.00M
2809.5%
Q. Op. Income
$251.00M
TTM Net Income
$1.47B
213.2%
Q. Net Income
$-148.00M
EPS
$-0.17
Shares Out.
$1.12B
22.2%
$835.00M in TTM revenue grew 303.4% YoY, reaching $319.00M last quarter. TTM EBITDA of $569.00M and TTM operating income of $569.00M shows growth is flowing through. Net income of $1.47B TTM confirms the company is converting revenue into profit. Revenue is growing at a healthy pace — a signal to hold.

Margins

Gross, EBITDA, operating, and net margin trends

EBITDA Margin
78.7%
Op. Margin
78.7%
21.5%
Net Margin
-46.4%
247.5%
Op. margin of 78.7% is up 13.9% YoY — cost efficiency is improving. Net margin at -46.4%.

Price Ratios

P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and earnings yield

P/E Ratio
8.4x
P/S Ratio
14.8x
P/B Ratio
1.0x
At 8.4x P/E, the stock trades below market averages — potentially undervalued. P/S of 14.8x and P/B of 1.0x provide additional context. Below-market P/E with growing revenue suggests a potential buying opportunity — the stock may be undervalued relative to its fundamentals.

Assets & Liabilities

Total assets, cash, debt, book value, and leverage

Total Assets
$118.90B
Cash
$493.00M
Long-Term Debt
N/A
Book Value
$12.18B
D/E Ratio
N/A
Debt/EBITDA
0.0

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow, free cash flow, FCF margin, and earnings quality

Op. Cash Flow
$387.00M
Free Cash Flow
$387.00M
101.6%
FCF Margin
46.3%
FCF / Net Income
-2.6
FCF of $387.00M on $387.00M in operating cash flow. The FCF / Net Income ratio of 0.3x indicates partial cash conversion — earnings quality needs attention.

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