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The Carlyle Group (CG) Stock Fundamentals, Analysis & Risk Signals

Health score, competitive moat, risk signals, and key metrics at a glance.

NasdaqGS•Financial Services•Asset Management
D
WeakMetricSide Score: 28/100
ProfitabilityProfit5/30
GrowthGrowth6/25
Balance SheetBalance17/25
Cash QualityCash0/20
Price & Volume
Market Cap $15.38B

The Carlyle Group Inc. is an investment firm specializing in direct and fund of fund investments. Within direct investments, it specializes in management-led/ Leveraged buyouts, privatizations, divestitures, strategic minority equity investments, structured credit, global distressed and corporate opportunities, small and middle market, equity private placements, consolidations and buildups, senior debt, mezzanine and leveraged finance, and venture and growth capital financings, seed/startup, early venture, emerging growth, turnaround, mid venture, late venture, PIPES, recapitalization. The firm invests across four segments which include Corporate Private Equity, Real Assets, Global Market Strategies, and Solutions. The firm typically invests in industrial, agribusiness, ecological sector, fintech, airports, parking, Plastics, Rubber, diversified natural resources, minerals, farming, aerospace, defense, automotive, consumer, retail, industrial, infrastructure, energy, power, healthcare, software, software enabled services, semiconductors, communications infrastructure, financial technology, utilities, gaming, systems and related supply chain, electronic systems, systems, oil and gas, processing facilities, power generation assets, technology, systems, real estate, financial services, transportation, business services, telecommunications, media, and logistics sectors. Within the industrial sector, the firm invests in manufacturing, building products, packaging, chemicals, metals and mining, forestry and paper products, and industrial consumables and services. In consumer and retail sectors, it invests in food and beverage, retail, restaurants, consumer products, domestic consumption, consumer services, personal care products, direct marketing, and education. Within aerospace, defense, business services, and government services sectors, it seeks to invest in defense electronics, manufacturing and services, government contracting and services, information technology, distribution companies, supply chains, aftermarket services, cybersecurity and digital resilience, digital transformation. Within healthcare, biotech and medtech innovation, life sciences, healthcare IT, pharmacy, pharma commercialization. In telecommunication and media sectors, it invests in cable TV, directories, publishing, entertainment and content delivery services, wireless infrastructure/services, fixed line networks, satellite services, broadband and Internet, and infrastructure. Within real estate, the firm invests in office, hotel, industrial, retail, for sale residential, student housing, hospitality, multifamily residential, homebuilding and building products, and senior living sectors. The firm seeks to make investments in growing business including those with overleveraged balance sheets. The firm seeks to hold its investments for four to six years. In the healthcare sector, it invests in healthcare services, outsourcing services, companies running clinical trials for pharmaceutical companies, managed care, pharmaceuticals, pharmaceutical related services, healthcare IT, medical, products, and devices. It seeks to invest in companies based in Sub-Saharan focusing on Ghana, Kenya, Mozambique, Botswana, Nigeria, Uganda, West Africa, North Africa and South Africa focusing on Tanzania and Zambia; Asia focusing on Pakistan, India, Hong Kong, South East Asia, Indonesia, Philippines, Malaysia, Singapore, Vietnam, Taiwan, Korea, and Japan; Australia; New Zealand; Europe focusing on France, Italy, Denmark, United Kingdom, Germany, Austria, Belgium, Finland, Iceland, Ireland, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Benelux , Sweden, Switzerland, Hungary, Poland, and Russia; Middle East focusing on Bahrain, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and UAE; North America focusing on United States which further invest in Southeastern United States, Texas, Boston, San Francisco Bay Area and Pacific Northwest; Asia Pacific; Soviet Union, Central-Eastern Europe, and Israel; Nordic region; and South America focusing on Mexico, Argentina, Brazil, Chile, and Peru. The firm seeks to invest in food, financial, and healthcare industries in Western China. In the real estate sector, the firm seeks to invest in various locations across Europe focusing on France and Central Europe, United States, Asia focusing on China, and Latin America. It typically invests between $2.24 million and $50 million for venture investments and between $50 million and $2 billion for buyouts in companies with enterprise value of between $31.57 million and $1000 million and sales value of $50 million and $300 million. It seeks to invest in companies with market capitalization greater than $50 million and EBITDA between $5 million to $25 million. It prefers to take a majority or a minority stake. While investing in Japan, it does not invest in companies with more than 1,000 employees and prefers companies' worth between $100 million and $150 million. The firm originates, structures, and acts as lead equity investor in the transactions. The Carlyle Group Inc. was founded in 1987 and is based in Washington, District of Columbia with additional offices across North America, South America, Asia, Australia and Europe.

Moat Signals

Competitive analysis based on 56 quarters of fundamental data

Pricing Power

Weak Moat

Operating margins are under pressure, averaging 12.7%. The business may lack pricing power or face rising costs.'

Competitive Advantage

Weak Moat

ROE is low or negative, suggesting limited competitive advantage or capital allocation challenges.

Cash Generation

Weak Moat

Only 1 of the last 8 quarters had positive FCF — the business may require external capital to sustain operations.

Demand Durability

Moderate Moat

Revenue shows resilience with 5 of 7 quarters posting growth — demand is generally stable but has seen some soft patches.

Risk Signals

Data-driven red flags and warnings across 56 quarters

High Risk

Margin Pressure

Red Flag

Operating margins dropped 91.9% over recent quarters — a sharp decline suggesting serious cost or pricing challenges.

Earnings Quality

Red Flag

Free cash flow has been negative in 7 of the last 8 quarters — earnings are not translating to cash.

Leverage Risk

Healthy

Limited debt-to-equity data available.

Revenue Decline

Healthy

Revenue is stable or growing over recent quarters — demand appears durable.

Cash Burn

Red Flag

The last 6 consecutive quarters had negative FCF — the company is burning cash and may need external funding.

Share Dilution

Healthy

Share count is stable — no significant dilution or buyback activity.

Metrics at a Glance

as of March 2026

Revenue & Profit

Revenue, EBITDA, operating income, net income, EPS, and shares

TTM Revenue
$4.06B
28.9%
Q. Revenue
$254.00M
TTM EBITDA
$809.00M
44.0%
TTM Op. Income
$809.00M
44.0%
Q. Op. Income
$-179.00M
TTM Net Income
$546.50M
49.6%
Q. Net Income
$-132.20M
EPS
$-0.37
Shares Out.
$359.19M
0.1%
$4.06B in TTM revenue declined 28.9% YoY, reaching $254.00M last quarter. TTM EBITDA of $809.00M and TTM operating income of $809.00M shows growth is flowing through. Net income of $546.50M TTM confirms the company is converting revenue into profit. Revenue is contracting — assess whether this is cyclical or structural.

Margins

Gross, EBITDA, operating, and net margin trends

EBITDA Margin
-70.5%
Op. Margin
-70.5%
501.0%
Net Margin
-52.0%
489.6%
Op. margin of -70.5% is down 88.0% YoY — costs are rising relative to revenue. Net margin at -52.0%.

Price Ratios

P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and earnings yield

P/E Ratio
28.2x
P/S Ratio
3.8x
P/B Ratio
2.1x
At 28.2x P/E, the stock trades in line with market averages — fairly valued. P/S of 3.8x and P/B of 2.1x provide additional context. Assess whether the current multiple is justified by the company's growth and profitability trajectory.

Assets & Liabilities

Total assets, cash, debt, book value, and leverage

Total Assets
$29.84B
Cash
$1.67B
Long-Term Debt
N/A
Book Value
$7.37B
D/E Ratio
N/A
Debt/EBITDA
N/A

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow, free cash flow, FCF margin, and earnings quality

Op. Cash Flow
$-1.24B
Free Cash Flow
$-1.27B
244.5%
FCF Margin
-31.3%
FCF / Net Income
9.6
FCF of $-1.27B on $-1.24B in operating cash flow. The FCF / Net Income ratio of -2.3x shows cash consumption — the business is not yet self-funding.

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