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Churchill Downs, Incorporated (CHDN) Stock Fundamentals, Analysis & Risk Signals

Health score, competitive moat, risk signals, and key metrics at a glance.

NasdaqGS•Consumer Cyclical•Gambling
B
GoodMetricSide Score: 64/100
ProfitabilityProfit30/30
GrowthGrowth9/25
Balance SheetBalance7/25
Cash QualityCash18/20
Price & Volume
Market Cap $6.36B

Churchill Downs Incorporated operates live and historical racing entertainment venues, online wagering businesses, and regional casino gaming properties in the United States. It operates through three segments: Live and Historical Racing, Wagering Services and Solutions, and Gaming. The Live and Historical Racing segment engages in live and historical pari-mutuel racing related activities at Churchill Downs Racetrack and its historical racing properties in Kentucky, Virginia, and New Hampshire; provides racing event-related services, including admissions, personal seat licenses, sponsorships, television rights, and other miscellaneous services, as well as food and beverages services. The Wagering Services and Solutions engages in pari-mutuel wagers through TwinSpires, which operates the online horse racing wagering business for TwinSpires.com, BetAmerica.com, and other white-label platforms; facilitates dollar wagering; provides the Bloodstock Research Information Services platform for horse racing statistical data; offers streaming video of live horse races, replays, and an assortment of racing and handicapping information; and provides technology services to third parties. This segment also operates retail and online sports betting businesses, United Tote, which manufactures and operates pari-mutuel wagering systems for racetracks, OTBs, and other pari-mutuel wagering businesses, and Exacta, which provides central determinant system technology in HRMs. The Gaming segment operates the casino properties and associated racetracks, which include slot machines, table games, video lottery terminals, video poker, HRMs, ancillary food and beverage services, hotel services, commission on pari-mutuel wagering, racing event-related services, and other miscellaneous operations. Churchill Downs Incorporated was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.

Moat Signals

Competitive analysis based on 60 quarters of fundamental data

Pricing Power

Moderate Moat

Operating margins are positive at ~23.5% on average, but show some variability — pricing power may be sensitive to market conditions.

Competitive Advantage

Strong Moat

Consistently high ROE averaging 38.7% suggests a durable competitive advantage and efficient capital allocation.

Cash Generation

Strong Moat

Free cash flow is consistently positive and growing — a hallmark of a capital-light business that can self-fund growth.

Demand Durability

Strong Moat

TTM revenue has grown consistently (7 of 7 quarters up), with ~12.7% growth over the period. Strong demand durability.

Risk Signals

Data-driven red flags and warnings across 60 quarters

Some Concerns

Margin Pressure

Watch

Operating margins declined 9.0% — watch for continued compression, which may signal competitive or cost pressure.

Earnings Quality

Healthy

FCF covers net income by 1.7x on average — earnings are well-supported by cash generation.

Leverage Risk

Red Flag

D/E ratio is 4.4 — dangerously high. The company is heavily leveraged and vulnerable to rising rates or cash flow dips.

Revenue Decline

Healthy

Revenue is stable or growing over recent quarters — demand appears durable.

Cash Burn

Healthy

Free cash flow is consistently positive — the business self-funds without external capital reliance.

Share Dilution

Healthy

Shares decreased 5.3% — net buybacks are reducing shares outstanding and boosting per-share value.

Metrics at a Glance

as of March 2026

Revenue & Profit

Revenue, EBITDA, operating income, net income, EPS, and shares

TTM Revenue
$2.95B
5.8%
Q. Revenue
$663.00M
TTM EBITDA
$922.10M
0.7%
TTM Op. Income
$692.20M
3.5%
Q. Op. Income
$143.00M
TTM Net Income
$389.30M
8.0%
Q. Net Income
$83.00M
EPS
$1.16
Shares Out.
$70.00M
5.0%
$2.95B in TTM revenue grew 5.8% YoY, reaching $663.00M last quarter. TTM EBITDA of $922.10M and TTM operating income of $692.20M shows growth is flowing through. Net income of $389.30M TTM confirms the company is converting revenue into profit. Revenue is growing at a healthy pace — a signal to hold.

Margins

Gross, EBITDA, operating, and net margin trends

EBITDA Margin
30.0%
Op. Margin
21.6%
3.0%
Net Margin
12.5%
4.9%
Op. margin of 21.6% is up 0.6% YoY — cost efficiency is improving. Net margin at 12.5%.

Price Ratios

P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and earnings yield

P/E Ratio
16.3x
P/S Ratio
2.2x
P/B Ratio
5.8x
At 16.3x P/E, the stock trades in line with market averages — fairly valued. P/S of 2.2x and P/B of 5.8x provide additional context. Assess whether the current multiple is justified by the company's growth and profitability trajectory.

Assets & Liabilities

Total assets, cash, debt, book value, and leverage

Total Assets
$7.49B
Cash
$200.00M
Long-Term Debt
$4.87B
Book Value
$1.10B
D/E Ratio
4.4
Debt/EBITDA
24.4
With $7.49B in assets and $4.87B in long-term debt, the D/E of 4.4and book value of $1.10B — indicates elevated leverage — the company has significant financial risk and may struggle in a downturn.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow, free cash flow, FCF margin, and earnings quality

Op. Cash Flow
$295.00M
Free Cash Flow
$255.00M
42.5%
FCF Margin
8.7%
FCF / Net Income
3.1
FCF of $255.00M on $295.00M in operating cash flow. The FCF / Net Income ratio of 0.7x indicates partial cash conversion — earnings quality needs attention.

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