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FOLD Stock Fundamentals, Analysis & Risk Signals

Health score, competitive moat, risk signals, and key metrics at a glance.

B
GoodMetricSide Score: 61/100
ProfitabilityProfit8/30
GrowthGrowth25/25
Balance SheetBalance18/25
Cash QualityCash10/20
Price & Volume

Moat Signals

Competitive analysis based on 59 quarters of fundamental data

Pricing Power

Weak Moat

Operating margins are under pressure, averaging 3.6%. The business may lack pricing power or face rising costs.'

Competitive Advantage

Weak Moat

ROE is low or negative, suggesting limited competitive advantage or capital allocation challenges.

Risk Signals

Data-driven red flags and warnings across 59 quarters

High Risk

Margin Pressure

Red Flag

The company posted negative operating margins in recent quarters — core operations are unprofitable.

Earnings Quality

Red Flag

Free cash flow has been negative in 4 of the last 8 quarters — earnings are not translating to cash.

Leverage Risk

Healthy

D/E ratio is 1.4 — conservative capital structure with low financial risk.

Revenue Decline

Healthy

Revenue is stable or growing over recent quarters — demand appears durable.

Cash Burn

Watch

4 of the last 8 quarters had negative FCF — inconsistent cash generation raises sustainability concerns.

Share Dilution

Watch

Shares outstanding rose 2.0% — mild dilution. Compare to earnings growth to assess net per-share impact.

Metrics at a Glance

as of December 2025

Revenue & Profit

Revenue, EBITDA, operating income, net income, EPS, and shares

TTM Revenue
$634.21M
20.0%
Q. Revenue
$185.21M
TTM EBITDA
$40.25M
20.4%
TTM Op. Income
$32.79M
31.8%
Q. Op. Income
$15.95M
TTM Net Income
$-27.11M
51.7%
Q. Net Income
$1.69M
EPS
$-0.018
Shares Out.
$309.04M
0.9%
$634.21M in TTM revenue grew 20.0% YoY, reaching $185.21M last quarter. TTM EBITDA of $40.25M and TTM operating income of $32.79M shows growth is flowing through. However, net income is negative at $27.11M — growth is not yet reaching the bottom line. Revenue is growing at a healthy pace — a signal to hold.

Margins

Gross, EBITDA, operating, and net margin trends

Gross Margin
85.7%
4.9%
EBITDA Margin
9.6%
Op. Margin
8.6%
19.3%
Net Margin
0.9%
90.7%
Op. margin of 8.6% is down 2.1% YoY — costs are rising relative to revenue. Net margin at 0.9% and gross margin of 85.7% — earnings take a bigger bite when COGS stays lean..

Price Ratios

P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and earnings yield

P/E Ratio
N/A
P/S Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
N/A
P/S of 0.0x and P/B of 0.0x.

Assets & Liabilities

Total assets, cash, debt, book value, and leverage

Total Assets
$949.87M
Cash
$214.01M
Long-Term Debt
$392.66M
Book Value
$274.24M
D/E Ratio
1.4
Debt/EBITDA
22.0
With $949.87M in assets and $392.66M in long-term debt, the D/E of 1.4and book value of $274.24M — reflects moderate leverage — debt is manageable but worth monitoring.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow, free cash flow, FCF margin, and earnings quality

Op. Cash Flow
$16.25M
TTM Free Cash Flow
$29.85M
179.7%
FCF Margin
4.7%
FCF / Net Income
-1.1
TTM FCF of $29.85M on $16.25M in operating cash flow. The FCF / Net Income ratio of -1.1x shows cash consumption — the business is not yet self-funding.

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Cash Generation

Weak Moat

Only 4 of the last 8 quarters had positive FCF — the business may require external capital to sustain operations.

Demand Durability

Strong Moat

TTM revenue has grown consistently (7 of 7 quarters up), with ~49.8% growth over the period. Strong demand durability.