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Golub Capital BDC (GBDC) Stock Fundamentals, Analysis & Risk Signals

Health score, competitive moat, risk signals, and key metrics at a glance.

NasdaqGS•Financial Services•Asset Management
C
AverageMetricSide Score: 48/100
ProfitabilityProfit15/30
GrowthGrowth9/25
Balance SheetBalance8/25
Cash QualityCash16/20
Price & Volume
Market Cap $3.43B

Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC) is a Private Debt, business development company and operates as an externally managed closed-end non-diversified management investment company. It invests in debt and minority equity investments in middle-market companies that are, in most cases, sponsored by private equity investors. It typically invests in diversified consumer services, automobiles, healthcare technology, insurance, health care equipment and supplies, hotels, restaurants and leisure, healthcare providers and services, IT services and specialty retails. It seeks to invest in the United States. It primarily invests in first lien traditional senior debt, first lien one stop, junior debt and equity, senior secured, one stop, unitranche, second lien, subordinated and mezzanine loans of middle-market companies, and warrants.

Moat Signals

Competitive analysis based on 15 quarters of fundamental data

Pricing Power

Moderate Moat

Operating margins are positive at ~47.7% on average, but show some variability — pricing power may be sensitive to market conditions.

Competitive Advantage

Moderate Moat

ROE is positive at ~7.7% on average, adequate but below the threshold typically associated with wide moats.

Cash Generation

Moderate Moat

5 of the last 8 quarters generated positive FCF. The company generally funds itself but has occasional cash consumption quarters.

Demand Durability

Moderate Moat

Revenue shows resilience with 4 of 7 quarters posting growth — demand is generally stable but has seen some soft patches.

Risk Signals

Data-driven red flags and warnings across 15 quarters

Some Concerns

Margin Pressure

Watch

Operating margins declined 6.5% — watch for continued compression, which may signal competitive or cost pressure.

Earnings Quality

Watch

FCF/Net Income has dropped below 0.7x in 4 quarters — monitor for earnings quality deterioration.

Leverage Risk

Healthy

D/E ratio is 1.3 — conservative capital structure with low financial risk.

Revenue Decline

Healthy

Revenue is stable or growing over recent quarters — demand appears durable.

Cash Burn

Watch

FCF turned negative in 3 of the last 8 quarters — occasional cash consumption.

Share Dilution

Red Flag

Shares outstanding increased 46.2% — significant dilution, likely from stock compensation or capital raises.

Metrics at a Glance

as of March 2026

Revenue & Profit

Revenue, EBITDA, operating income, net income, EPS, and shares

TTM Revenue
$831.33M
0.1%
Q. Revenue
$188.13M
TTM EBITDA
$383.33M
5.9%
TTM Op. Income
$383.33M
5.9%
Q. Op. Income
$85.55M
TTM Net Income
$204.80M
30.5%
Q. Net Income
$-46.80M
EPS
$0.07
Shares Out.
$263.18M
0.8%
$831.33M in TTM revenue grew 0.1% YoY, reaching $188.13M last quarter. TTM EBITDA of $383.33M and TTM operating income of $383.33M shows growth is flowing through. Net income of $204.80M TTM confirms the company is converting revenue into profit. Revenue is growing modestly — monitor for acceleration or deceleration.

Margins

Gross, EBITDA, operating, and net margin trends

Gross Margin
45.5%
1.4%
EBITDA Margin
45.5%
Op. Margin
45.5%
1.4%
Net Margin
-24.9%
167.4%
Op. margin of 45.5% is down 0.7% YoY — costs are rising relative to revenue. Net margin at -24.9% and gross margin of 45.5% — earnings take a bigger bite when COGS stays lean..

Price Ratios

P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and earnings yield

P/E Ratio
16.7x
P/S Ratio
4.1x
P/B Ratio
0.9x
At 16.7x P/E, the stock trades in line with market averages — fairly valued. P/S of 4.1x and P/B of 0.9x provide additional context. Assess whether the current multiple is justified by the company's growth and profitability trajectory.

Assets & Liabilities

Total assets, cash, debt, book value, and leverage

Total Assets
$8.53B
Cash
$135.18M
Long-Term Debt
$4.70B
Book Value
$3.75B
D/E Ratio
1.3
Debt/EBITDA
55.0
With $8.53B in assets and $4.70B in long-term debt, the D/E of 1.3and book value of $3.75B — reflects moderate leverage — debt is manageable but worth monitoring.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow, free cash flow, FCF margin, and earnings quality

Op. Cash Flow
$248.77M
TTM Free Cash Flow
$526.48M
454.8%
FCF Margin
63.3%
FCF / Net Income
2.6
TTM FCF of $526.48M on $248.77M in operating cash flow. The FCF / Net Income ratio of 2.6x means earnings are well backed by actual cash — high-quality earnings.

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