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Graphic Packaging Holding Compa (GPK) Stock Fundamentals, Analysis & Risk Signals

Health score, competitive moat, risk signals, and key metrics at a glance.

NYSE•Consumer Cyclical•Packaging & Containers
D
WeakMetricSide Score: 36/100
ProfitabilityProfit8/30
GrowthGrowth6/25
Balance SheetBalance12/25
Cash QualityCash10/20
Price & Volume
Market Cap $3.06B

Graphic Packaging Holding Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, production, and sale of consumer packaging products to brands in food, beverage, foodservice, household, and other consumer products in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through two segments, Americas Paperboard Packaging and International Paperboard Packaging. The Americas Paperboard Packaging segment includes paperboard packaging sold primarily to consumer packaged goods (CPG) companies serving the food, beverage and consumer product markets and cups, lids and food containers sold primarily to foodservice companies and quick-service restaurants in the Americas. The International Paperboard Packaging includes paperboard packaging sold primarily to CPG companies serving the food, foodservice, beverage and consumer product markets, including healthcare and beauty, outside of the Americas. It also designs, manufactures, and installs specialized packaging machines. The company sells its products through sales offices, as well as through broker arrangements with third parties. Graphic Packaging Holding Company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Moat Signals

Competitive analysis based on 60 quarters of fundamental data

Pricing Power

Moderate Moat

Operating margins are positive at ~9.6% on average, but show some variability — pricing power may be sensitive to market conditions.

Competitive Advantage

Moderate Moat

ROE averages 18.1% but has fluctuated — the competitive advantage may be cyclical or emerging.

Risk Signals

Data-driven red flags and warnings across 60 quarters

High Risk

Margin Pressure

Red Flag

Operating margins dropped 43.2% over recent quarters — a sharp decline suggesting serious cost or pricing challenges.

Earnings Quality

Red Flag

Free cash flow has been negative in 5 of the last 8 quarters — earnings are not translating to cash.

Leverage Risk

Healthy

D/E ratio is 1.6 — conservative capital structure with low financial risk.

Revenue Decline

Watch

Revenue has softened, declining in 5 quarters. Monitor for further erosion.

Cash Burn

Watch

5 of the last 8 quarters had negative FCF — inconsistent cash generation raises sustainability concerns.

Share Dilution

Healthy

Shares decreased 2.9% — net buybacks are reducing shares outstanding and boosting per-share value.

Metrics at a Glance

as of March 2026

Revenue & Profit

Revenue, EBITDA, operating income, net income, EPS, and shares

TTM Revenue
$8.65B
0.2%
Q. Revenue
$2.16B
TTM EBITDA
$1.15B
28.5%
TTM Op. Income
$602.00M
43.3%
Q. Op. Income
$19.00M
TTM Net Income
$274.00M
55.8%
Q. Net Income
$-43.00M
EPS
$-0.14
Shares Out.
$296.70M
1.8%
$8.65B in TTM revenue declined 0.2% YoY, reaching $2.16B last quarter. TTM EBITDA of $1.15B and TTM operating income of $602.00M shows growth is flowing through. Net income of $274.00M TTM confirms the company is converting revenue into profit. Revenue is contracting — assess whether this is cyclical or structural.

Margins

Gross, EBITDA, operating, and net margin trends

Gross Margin
14.2%
32.4%
EBITDA Margin
7.3%
Op. Margin
0.9%
91.5%
Net Margin
-2.0%
133.3%
Op. margin of 0.9% is down 9.5% YoY — costs are rising relative to revenue. Net margin at -2.0% and gross margin of 14.2% — earnings take a bigger bite when COGS stays lean..

Price Ratios

P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and earnings yield

P/E Ratio
11.2x
P/S Ratio
0.4x
P/B Ratio
0.9x
At 11.2x P/E, the stock trades below market averages — potentially undervalued. P/S of 0.4x and P/B of 0.9x provide additional context. Assess whether the current multiple is justified by the company's growth and profitability trajectory.

Assets & Liabilities

Total assets, cash, debt, book value, and leverage

Total Assets
$11.69B
Cash
$189.00M
Long-Term Debt
$5.20B
Book Value
$3.25B
D/E Ratio
1.6
Debt/EBITDA
32.9
With $11.69B in assets and $5.20B in long-term debt, the D/E of 1.6and book value of $3.25B — reflects moderate leverage — debt is manageable but worth monitoring.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow, free cash flow, FCF margin, and earnings quality

Op. Cash Flow
$-113.00M
TTM Free Cash Flow
$149.00M
130.3%
FCF Margin
1.7%
FCF / Net Income
0.5
TTM FCF of $149.00M on $-113.00M in operating cash flow. The FCF / Net Income ratio of 0.5x indicates partial cash conversion — earnings quality needs attention.

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Cash Generation

Weak Moat

Only 3 of the last 8 quarters had positive FCF — the business may require external capital to sustain operations.

Demand Durability

Weak Moat

Revenue has been flat or declining over recent quarters, which may indicate eroding demand or competitive pressure.