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Warrior Met Coal (HCC) Stock Fundamentals, Analysis & Risk Signals

Health score, competitive moat, risk signals, and key metrics at a glance.

NYSE•Basic Materials•Coking Coal
B
GoodMetricSide Score: 75/100
ProfitabilityProfit25/30
GrowthGrowth25/25
Balance SheetBalance25/25
Cash QualityCash0/20
Price & Volume
Market Cap $4.34B

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. engages in the production and export of non-thermal steelmaking coal for the steel production by metal manufacturers in Europe, South America, and Asia. It offers hard-coking coal through the operation of underground mines located in Alabama. The company also sells natural gas extracted as a byproduct from coal production. Warrior Met Coal, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Brookwood, Alabama.

Moat Signals

Competitive analysis based on 34 quarters of fundamental data

Pricing Power

Weak Moat

Operating margins are under pressure, averaging 7.2%. The business may lack pricing power or face rising costs.'

Competitive Advantage

Moderate Moat

ROE is positive at ~8.5% on average, adequate but below the threshold typically associated with wide moats.

Risk Signals

Data-driven red flags and warnings across 34 quarters

High Risk

Margin Pressure

Red Flag

The company posted negative operating margins in recent quarters — core operations are unprofitable.

Earnings Quality

Red Flag

Free cash flow has been negative in 7 of the last 8 quarters — earnings are not translating to cash.

Leverage Risk

Healthy

D/E ratio is 0.1 — conservative capital structure with low financial risk.

Revenue Decline

Red Flag

TTM revenue has contracted 14.7% — significant decline indicating deteriorating demand.

Cash Burn

Red Flag

The last 7 consecutive quarters had negative FCF — the company is burning cash and may need external funding.

Share Dilution

Healthy

Share count is stable — no significant dilution or buyback activity.

Metrics at a Glance

as of March 2026

Revenue & Profit

Revenue, EBITDA, operating income, net income, EPS, and shares

TTM Revenue
$1.47B
11.1%
Q. Revenue
$458.59M
TTM EBITDA
$338.02M
36.5%
TTM Op. Income
$142.46M
61.1%
Q. Op. Income
$79.37M
TTM Net Income
$137.51M
30.4%
Q. Net Income
$72.34M
EPS
$1.37
Shares Out.
$52.72M
0.5%
$1.47B in TTM revenue grew 11.1% YoY, reaching $458.59M last quarter. TTM EBITDA of $338.02M and TTM operating income of $142.46M shows growth is flowing through. Net income of $137.51M TTM confirms the company is converting revenue into profit. Revenue is growing at a healthy pace — a signal to hold.

Margins

Gross, EBITDA, operating, and net margin trends

Gross Margin
36.7%
102.9%
EBITDA Margin
28.7%
Op. Margin
17.3%
398.6%
Net Margin
15.8%
679.3%
Op. margin of 17.3% is up 23.1% YoY — cost efficiency is improving. Net margin at 15.8% and gross margin of 36.7% — earnings take a bigger bite when COGS stays lean..

Price Ratios

P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and earnings yield

P/E Ratio
31.6x
P/S Ratio
3.0x
P/B Ratio
2.0x
At 31.6x P/E, the stock trades at a premium — the market expects above-average growth. P/S of 3.0x and P/B of 2.0x provide additional context. Assess whether the current multiple is justified by the company's growth and profitability trajectory.

Assets & Liabilities

Total assets, cash, debt, book value, and leverage

Total Assets
$2.82B
Cash
$202.60M
Long-Term Debt
$154.42M
Book Value
$2.20B
D/E Ratio
0.1
Debt/EBITDA
1.2
With $2.82B in assets and $154.42M in long-term debt, the D/E of 0.1and book value of $2.20B — shows a conservative capital structure — the company has a strong financial cushion to weather downturns.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow, free cash flow, FCF margin, and earnings quality

Op. Cash Flow
$-11.73M
TTM Free Cash Flow
$-196.38M
2.5%
FCF Margin
-13.4%
FCF / Net Income
-1.4
TTM FCF of $-196.38M on $-11.73M in operating cash flow. The FCF / Net Income ratio of -1.4x shows cash consumption — the business is not yet self-funding.

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Cash Generation

Weak Moat

Only 1 of the last 8 quarters had positive FCF — the business may require external capital to sustain operations.

Demand Durability

Weak Moat

Revenue has been flat or declining over recent quarters, which may indicate eroding demand or competitive pressure.