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Magnolia Oil & Gas (MGY) Stock Fundamentals, Analysis & Risk Signals

Health score, competitive moat, risk signals, and key metrics at a glance.

NYSE•Energy•Oil & Gas E&P
B
GoodMetricSide Score: 73/100
ProfitabilityProfit30/30
GrowthGrowth6/25
Balance SheetBalance17/25
Cash QualityCash20/20
Price & Volume
Market Cap $4.88B

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids reserves in the United States. The company's properties are located primarily in Karnes County and the Giddings area in South Texas comprising the Eagle Ford Shale and the Austin Chalk formation. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Moat Signals

Competitive analysis based on 35 quarters of fundamental data

Pricing Power

Moderate Moat

Operating margins are positive at ~35.7% on average, but show some variability — pricing power may be sensitive to market conditions.

Competitive Advantage

Strong Moat

Consistently high ROE averaging 18.1% suggests a durable competitive advantage and efficient capital allocation.

Risk Signals

Data-driven red flags and warnings across 35 quarters

Low Risk

Margin Pressure

Watch

Operating margins declined 16.2% — watch for continued compression, which may signal competitive or cost pressure.

Earnings Quality

Healthy

FCF covers net income by 1.2x on average — earnings are well-supported by cash generation.

Leverage Risk

Healthy

D/E ratio is 0.2 — conservative capital structure with low financial risk.

Revenue Decline

Healthy

Revenue is stable or growing over recent quarters — demand appears durable.

Cash Burn

Healthy

Free cash flow is consistently positive — the business self-funds without external capital reliance.

Share Dilution

Healthy

Share count is stable — no significant dilution or buyback activity.

Metrics at a Glance

as of March 2026

Revenue & Profit

Revenue, EBITDA, operating income, net income, EPS, and shares

TTM Revenue
$1.32B
2.0%
Q. Revenue
$358.51M
TTM EBITDA
$876.39M
7.4%
TTM Op. Income
$431.12M
17.6%
Q. Op. Income
$127.76M
TTM Net Income
$322.15M
16.1%
Q. Net Income
$99.83M
EPS
N/A
Shares Out.
$183.27M
2.9%
$1.32B in TTM revenue declined 2.0% YoY, reaching $358.51M last quarter. TTM EBITDA of $876.39M and TTM operating income of $431.12M shows growth is flowing through. Net income of $322.15M TTM confirms the company is converting revenue into profit. Revenue is contracting — assess whether this is cyclical or structural.

Margins

Gross, EBITDA, operating, and net margin trends

EBITDA Margin
67.3%
Op. Margin
35.6%
8.1%
Net Margin
27.8%
5.2%
Op. margin of 35.6% is down 3.1% YoY — costs are rising relative to revenue. Net margin at 27.8%.

Price Ratios

P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and earnings yield

P/E Ratio
15.2x
P/S Ratio
3.7x
P/B Ratio
2.4x
At 15.2x P/E, the stock trades in line with market averages — fairly valued. P/S of 3.7x and P/B of 2.4x provide additional context. Assess whether the current multiple is justified by the company's growth and profitability trajectory.

Assets & Liabilities

Total assets, cash, debt, book value, and leverage

Total Assets
$2.94B
Cash
$124.37M
Long-Term Debt
$393.44M
Book Value
$2.04B
D/E Ratio
0.2
Debt/EBITDA
1.6
With $2.94B in assets and $393.44M in long-term debt, the D/E of 0.2and book value of $2.04B — shows a conservative capital structure — the company has a strong financial cushion to weather downturns.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow, free cash flow, FCF margin, and earnings quality

Op. Cash Flow
$197.62M
TTM Free Cash Flow
$385.03M
12.0%
FCF Margin
29.2%
FCF / Net Income
1.2
TTM FCF of $385.03M on $197.62M in operating cash flow. The FCF / Net Income ratio of 1.2x means earnings are well backed by actual cash — high-quality earnings.

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Cash Generation

Moderate Moat

8 of the last 8 quarters generated positive FCF. The company generally funds itself but has occasional cash consumption quarters.

Demand Durability

Moderate Moat

Revenue shows resilience with 4 of 7 quarters posting growth — demand is generally stable but has seen some soft patches.