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Mosaic Company (The) (MOS) Stock Fundamentals, Analysis & Risk Signals

Health score, competitive moat, risk signals, and key metrics at a glance.

NYSE•Basic Materials•Agricultural Inputs
D
WeakMetricSide Score: 36/100
ProfitabilityProfit3/30
GrowthGrowth14/25
Balance SheetBalance17/25
Cash QualityCash2/20
Price & Volume
Market Cap $6.71B

The Mosaic Company, through its subsidiaries, produces and markets concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. It operates in three segments: Phosphates, Potash, and Mosaic Fertilizantes. The company owns and operates mines and production facilities, which produce concentrated phosphate crop nutrients and phosphate-based animal feed ingredients, as well as concentrated phosphate crop nutrients, such as diammonium phosphate, monoammonium phosphate, and MicroEssentials, a value-added ammoniated phosphate product. It also mines, processes, and sells potash to crop nutrient manufacturers, distributors, retailers, and to customers for industrial use; and owns and operates mines, chemical plants, crop nutrient blending and bagging facilities, port terminals and warehouses, which produce and sell concentrated phosphate and potash-based crop nutrients, and phosphate-based animal feed ingredients. In addition, the company produces a double sulfate of potash magnesia product under the K-Mag brand; and purchases phosphate, potash, and nitrogen products to produce blended crop nutrients. Further, it offers triple superphosphate, single superphosphate, and dicalcium phosphate; feed phosphate under the Biofos and Nexfos brands; potash for de-icing and as a water softener regenerant; and phosphogypsum. The company sells its products to wholesale distributors, retail chains, cooperatives, independent retailers, and national accounts through its sales force. It also exports its products. The company operates in the United States, Brazil, China, Canada, Paraguay, Argentina, Japan, Colombia, India, Australia, Peru, Mexico, Honduras, the Dominican Republic, Indonesia, and internationally. The Mosaic Company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Tampa, Florida.

Moat Signals

Competitive analysis based on 60 quarters of fundamental data

Pricing Power

Weak Moat

Operating margins are under pressure, averaging 3.9%. The business may lack pricing power or face rising costs.'

Competitive Advantage

Moderate Moat

ROE is positive at ~4.0% on average, adequate but below the threshold typically associated with wide moats.

Cash Generation

Weak Moat

Only 3 of the last 8 quarters had positive FCF — the business may require external capital to sustain operations.

Demand Durability

Moderate Moat

Revenue shows resilience with 4 of 7 quarters posting growth — demand is generally stable but has seen some soft patches.

Risk Signals

Data-driven red flags and warnings across 60 quarters

High Risk

Margin Pressure

Red Flag

Operating margins dropped 92.6% over recent quarters — a sharp decline suggesting serious cost or pricing challenges.

Earnings Quality

Red Flag

Free cash flow has been negative in 5 of the last 8 quarters — earnings are not translating to cash.

Leverage Risk

Watch

Debt-to-equity has risen 27.9% recently — increasing financial risk even if the current ratio is manageable.

Revenue Decline

Healthy

Revenue is stable or growing over recent quarters — demand appears durable.

Cash Burn

Watch

5 of the last 8 quarters had negative FCF — inconsistent cash generation raises sustainability concerns.

Share Dilution

Healthy

Share count is stable — no significant dilution or buyback activity.

Metrics at a Glance

as of March 2026

Revenue & Profit

Revenue, EBITDA, operating income, net income, EPS, and shares

TTM Revenue
$12.43B
12.3%
Q. Revenue
$3.00B
TTM EBITDA
$1.23B
32.0%
TTM Op. Income
$110.10M
86.0%
Q. Op. Income
$-372.90M
TTM Net Income
$45.00M
87.8%
Q. Net Income
$-257.60M
EPS
$-0.81
Shares Out.
$317.50M
0.2%
$12.43B in TTM revenue grew 12.3% YoY, reaching $3.00B last quarter. TTM EBITDA of $1.23B and TTM operating income of $110.10M shows growth is flowing through. Net income of $45.00M TTM confirms the company is converting revenue into profit. Revenue is growing at a healthy pace — a signal to hold.

Margins

Gross, EBITDA, operating, and net margin trends

Gross Margin
7.9%
57.8%
EBITDA Margin
-1.9%
Op. Margin
-12.4%
196.3%
Net Margin
-8.6%
194.6%
Op. margin of -12.4% is down 25.4% YoY — costs are rising relative to revenue. Net margin at -8.6% and gross margin of 7.9% — earnings take a bigger bite when COGS stays lean..

Price Ratios

P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and earnings yield

P/E Ratio
149.1x
P/S Ratio
0.5x
P/B Ratio
0.6x
At 149.1x P/E, the stock trades at a premium — the market expects above-average growth. P/S of 0.5x and P/B of 0.6x provide additional context. Assess whether the current multiple is justified by the company's growth and profitability trajectory.

Assets & Liabilities

Total assets, cash, debt, book value, and leverage

Total Assets
$24.57B
Cash
$281.80M
Long-Term Debt
$4.27B
Book Value
$11.80B
D/E Ratio
0.4
Debt/EBITDA
N/A
With $24.57B in assets and $4.27B in long-term debt, the D/E of 0.4and book value of $11.80B — shows a conservative capital structure — the company has a strong financial cushion to weather downturns.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow, free cash flow, FCF margin, and earnings quality

Op. Cash Flow
$104.20M
Free Cash Flow
$-252.60M
15.2%
FCF Margin
-2.0%
FCF / Net Income
1.0
FCF of $-252.60M on $104.20M in operating cash flow. The FCF / Net Income ratio of -5.6x shows cash consumption — the business is not yet self-funding.

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