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Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Stock Fundamentals, Analysis & Risk Signals

Health score, competitive moat, risk signals, and key metrics at a glance.

NYSE•Energy•Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
B
GoodMetricSide Score: 61/100
ProfitabilityProfit16/30
GrowthGrowth17/25
Balance SheetBalance12/25
Cash QualityCash16/20
Price & Volume
Market Cap $78.57B

Marathon Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated downstream energy company in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Refining & Marketing; Midstream; and Renewable Diesel. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States; and purchases refined products and ethanol for resale and distributes refined products through transportation, storage, distribution, and marketing services. Its refined products include transportation fuels, such as reformulated gasolines and blend-grade gasolines; heavy fuel oil; and asphalt. This segment also manufactures propane and petrochemicals. The company sells refined products to wholesale marketing customers in the United States and internationally, buyers on the spot market, and independent entrepreneurs who operate primarily Marathon branded outlets, as well as through long-term fuel supply contracts to direct dealer locations primarily under the ARCO brand. The Midstream segment gathers, transports, stores, distributes, and markets crude oil and refined products, including renewable diesel and other hydrocarbon-based products through refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, towboats, and barges; gathers, processes, and transports natural gas; and transports, fractionates, stores, and markets natural gas liquids. The Renewable Diesel segment processes renewable feedstocks into renewable diesel, markets, and distributes renewable diesel through its Midstream segment and third parties. It sells renewable diesel to wholesale marketing customers, buyers on the spot market, and through long-term supply contracts to direct dealers under the ARCO brand. Marathon Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Findlay, Ohio.

Moat Signals

Competitive analysis based on 60 quarters of fundamental data

Pricing Power

Moderate Moat

Operating margins are positive at ~5.3% on average, but show some variability — pricing power may be sensitive to market conditions.

Competitive Advantage

Moderate Moat

ROE averages 21.6% but has fluctuated — the competitive advantage may be cyclical or emerging.

Cash Generation

Strong Moat

Free cash flow is consistently positive and growing — a hallmark of a capital-light business that can self-fund growth.

Demand Durability

Weak Moat

Revenue has been flat or declining over recent quarters, which may indicate eroding demand or competitive pressure.

Risk Signals

Data-driven red flags and warnings across 60 quarters

Some Concerns

Margin Pressure

Healthy

Margins are stable or improving at ~6.7% — no sign of cost or pricing stress.

Earnings Quality

Healthy

FCF covers net income by 2.7x on average — earnings are well-supported by cash generation.

Leverage Risk

Healthy

D/E ratio is 1.8 — conservative capital structure with low financial risk.

Revenue Decline

Red Flag

Revenue declined in 6 of the last 7 quarters — persistent contraction signals a fundamental problem.

Cash Burn

Healthy

Free cash flow is consistently positive — the business self-funds without external capital reliance.

Share Dilution

Healthy

Shares decreased 15.5% — net buybacks are reducing shares outstanding and boosting per-share value.

Metrics at a Glance

as of March 2026

Revenue & Profit

Revenue, EBITDA, operating income, net income, EPS, and shares

TTM Revenue
$135.38B
1.7%
Q. Revenue
$34.20B
TTM EBITDA
$12.28B
36.4%
TTM Op. Income
$9.01B
58.1%
Q. Op. Income
$1.40B
TTM Net Income
$4.63B
90.3%
Q. Net Income
$511.00M
EPS
$1.73
Shares Out.
$295.00M
5.8%
$135.38B in TTM revenue declined 1.7% YoY, reaching $34.20B last quarter. TTM EBITDA of $12.28B and TTM operating income of $9.01B shows growth is flowing through. Net income of $4.63B TTM confirms the company is converting revenue into profit. Revenue is contracting — assess whether this is cyclical or structural.

Margins

Gross, EBITDA, operating, and net margin trends

Gross Margin
8.6%
25.6%
EBITDA Margin
6.5%
Op. Margin
4.1%
88.3%
Net Margin
1.5%
736.4%
Op. margin of 4.1% is up 1.9% YoY — cost efficiency is improving. Net margin at 1.5% and gross margin of 8.6% — earnings take a bigger bite when COGS stays lean..

Price Ratios

P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and earnings yield

P/E Ratio
17.0x
P/S Ratio
0.6x
P/B Ratio
4.7x
At 17.0x P/E, the stock trades in line with market averages — fairly valued. P/S of 0.6x and P/B of 4.7x provide additional context. Assess whether the current multiple is justified by the company's growth and profitability trajectory.

Assets & Liabilities

Total assets, cash, debt, book value, and leverage

Total Assets
$88.19B
Cash
$2.15B
Long-Term Debt
$30.71B
Book Value
$16.75B
D/E Ratio
1.8
Debt/EBITDA
13.9
With $88.19B in assets and $30.71B in long-term debt, the D/E of 1.8and book value of $16.75B — reflects moderate leverage — debt is manageable but worth monitoring.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow, free cash flow, FCF margin, and earnings quality

Op. Cash Flow
$1.12B
Free Cash Flow
$208.00M
128.6%
FCF Margin
0.2%
FCF / Net Income
0.4
FCF of $208.00M on $1.12B in operating cash flow. The FCF / Net Income ratio of 0.0x indicates partial cash conversion — earnings quality needs attention.

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