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Moderna (MRNA) Stock Fundamentals, Analysis & Risk Signals

Health score, competitive moat, risk signals, and key metrics at a glance.

NasdaqGS•Healthcare•Biotechnology
D
WeakMetricSide Score: 27/100
ProfitabilityProfit0/30
GrowthGrowth10/25
Balance SheetBalance17/25
Cash QualityCash0/20
Price & Volume
Market Cap $31.51B

Moderna, Inc., a biotechnology company, provides messenger RNA medicines in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company's respiratory vaccines include spikevax, mNEXSPIKE, mRESVIA, COVID, RSV, seasonal influenza, combination, and pandemic influenza vaccine; latent vaccines comprise cytomegalovirus, epstein-barr virus, and human immunodeficiency virus vaccines; enteric viruses include norovirus; public health vaccines consist of Zika, Nipah, and Mpox vaccines; and bacterial diseases vaccines, such as lyme vaccines. It also provides oncology therapeutics, such as intismeran autogene, cancer antigen therapy, t-cell engager, and cell therapy enhancer; and rare disease products, including propionic and methylmalonic acidemia, and cystic fibrosis. It has strategic alliances and collaborations with Merck & Co., Inc; Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated; Vertex Pharmaceuticals (Europe) Limited; immatics N.V.; Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency; Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority; Institute for Life Changing Medicines; The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; and OpenAI. The company was formerly known as Moderna Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Moderna, Inc. in August 2018. Moderna, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

Moat Signals

Competitive analysis based on 30 quarters of fundamental data

Pricing Power

Weak Moat

Operating margins are under pressure, averaging -352.3%. The business may lack pricing power or face rising costs.'

Competitive Advantage

Weak Moat

ROE is low or negative, suggesting limited competitive advantage or capital allocation challenges.

Cash Generation

Weak Moat

Only 2 of the last 8 quarters had positive FCF — the business may require external capital to sustain operations.

Demand Durability

Weak Moat

Revenue has been flat or declining over recent quarters, which may indicate eroding demand or competitive pressure.

Risk Signals

Data-driven red flags and warnings across 30 quarters

High Risk

Margin Pressure

Red Flag

The company posted negative operating margins in recent quarters — core operations are unprofitable.

Earnings Quality

Red Flag

Free cash flow has been negative in 6 of the last 8 quarters — earnings are not translating to cash.

Leverage Risk

Healthy

Limited debt-to-equity data available.

Revenue Decline

Red Flag

TTM revenue has contracted 42.7% — significant decline indicating deteriorating demand.

Cash Burn

Watch

6 of the last 8 quarters had negative FCF — inconsistent cash generation raises sustainability concerns.

Share Dilution

Watch

Shares outstanding rose 2.9% — mild dilution. Compare to earnings growth to assess net per-share impact.

Metrics at a Glance

as of March 2026

Revenue & Profit

Revenue, EBITDA, operating income, net income, EPS, and shares

TTM Revenue
$2.23B
30.0%
Q. Revenue
$389.00M
TTM EBITDA
$-3.18B
10.1%
TTM Op. Income
$-3.41B
8.5%
Q. Op. Income
$-1.39B
TTM Net Income
$-3.19B
4.9%
Q. Net Income
$-1.34B
EPS
$-3.4
Shares Out.
$395.00M
2.3%
$2.23B in TTM revenue declined 30.0% YoY, reaching $389.00M last quarter. TTM EBITDA of $-3.18B and TTM operating income of $-3.41B shows growth is flowing through. However, net income is negative at $3.19B — growth is not yet reaching the bottom line. Revenue is contracting — assess whether this is cyclical or structural.

Margins

Gross, EBITDA, operating, and net margin trends

Gross Margin
-145.5%
973.0%
EBITDA Margin
-342.4%
Op. Margin
-356.8%
63.3%
Net Margin
-345.2%
61.6%
Op. margin of -356.8% is up 615.4% YoY — cost efficiency is improving. Net margin at -345.2% and gross margin of -145.5% — earnings take a bigger bite when COGS stays lean..

Price Ratios

P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and earnings yield

P/E Ratio
N/A
P/S Ratio
14.2x
P/B Ratio
4.3x
P/S of 14.2x and P/B of 4.3x. A high P/S suggests growth expectations are priced in.

Assets & Liabilities

Total assets, cash, debt, book value, and leverage

Total Assets
$11.49B
Cash
$1.91B
Long-Term Debt
$590.00M
Book Value
$7.41B
D/E Ratio
0.1
Debt/EBITDA
N/A
With $11.49B in assets and $590.00M in long-term debt, the D/E of 0.1and book value of $7.41B — shows a conservative capital structure — the company has a strong financial cushion to weather downturns.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow, free cash flow, FCF margin, and earnings quality

Op. Cash Flow
$-630.00M
Free Cash Flow
$-692.00M
40.0%
FCF Margin
-31.1%
FCF / Net Income
0.5
FCF of $-692.00M on $-630.00M in operating cash flow. The FCF / Net Income ratio of 0.2x indicates partial cash conversion — earnings quality needs attention.

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