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Old National Bancorp (ONB) Stock Fundamentals, Analysis & Risk Signals

Health score, competitive moat, risk signals, and key metrics at a glance.

NasdaqGS•Financial Services•Banks - Regional
A
ExcellentMetricSide Score: 87/100
ProfitabilityProfit25/30
GrowthGrowth25/25
Balance SheetBalance19/25
Cash QualityCash18/20
Price & Volume
Market Cap $10.03B

Old National Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for Old National Bank that provides consumer and commercial banking services in the United States. It accepts deposit accounts, such as noninterest-bearing demand, interest-bearing checking and negotiable order of withdrawal, savings and money market, and time deposits. The company also offers loans, including home equity lines of credit, residential real estate loans, and consumer loans, as well as loans to commercial clients comprising commercial loans, commercial real estate loans, agricultural loans, letters of credit, and lease financing. In addition, it offers debit and automated teller machine cards, telephone access and online banking, and other electronic and mobile banking services. Further, the company offers private banking, wealth management, trust, investment advisory, brokerage, and foreign currency services; treasury management, merchant, and capital markets services for businesses; and community development lending and equity investment solutions. Old National Bancorp was founded in 1834 and is headquartered in Evansville, Indiana.

Moat Signals

Competitive analysis based on 64 quarters of fundamental data

Pricing Power

Moderate Moat

Operating margins are positive at ~22.5% on average, but show some variability — pricing power may be sensitive to market conditions.

Competitive Advantage

Moderate Moat

ROE is positive at ~8.1% on average, adequate but below the threshold typically associated with wide moats.

Cash Generation

Strong Moat

Free cash flow is consistently positive and growing — a hallmark of a capital-light business that can self-fund growth.

Demand Durability

Strong Moat

TTM revenue has grown consistently (7 of 7 quarters up), with ~46.0% growth over the period. Strong demand durability.

Risk Signals

Data-driven red flags and warnings across 64 quarters

Some Concerns

Margin Pressure

Watch

Operating margins declined 8.4% — watch for continued compression, which may signal competitive or cost pressure.

Earnings Quality

Healthy

FCF covers net income by 1.0x on average — earnings are well-supported by cash generation.

Leverage Risk

Healthy

D/E ratio is 0.7 — conservative capital structure with low financial risk.

Revenue Decline

Healthy

Revenue is stable or growing over recent quarters — demand appears durable.

Cash Burn

Healthy

Free cash flow is consistently positive — the business self-funds without external capital reliance.

Share Dilution

Red Flag

Shares outstanding increased 22.3% — significant dilution, likely from stock compensation or capital raises.

Metrics at a Glance

as of March 2026

Revenue & Profit

Revenue, EBITDA, operating income, net income, EPS, and shares

TTM Revenue
$2.04B
41.9%
Q. Revenue
$537.63M
TTM EBITDA
$605.10M
49.4%
TTM Op. Income
$460.02M
36.0%
Q. Op. Income
$172.92M
TTM Net Income
$758.27M
34.5%
Q. Net Income
$233.67M
EPS
$0.6
Shares Out.
$385.85M
22.1%
$2.04B in TTM revenue grew 41.9% YoY, reaching $537.63M last quarter. TTM EBITDA of $605.10M and TTM operating income of $460.02M shows growth is flowing through. Net income of $758.27M TTM confirms the company is converting revenue into profit. Revenue is growing at a healthy pace — a signal to hold.

Margins

Gross, EBITDA, operating, and net margin trends

Gross Margin
43.3%
35.9%
EBITDA Margin
39.2%
Op. Margin
32.2%
30.5%
Net Margin
43.5%
7.0%
Op. margin of 32.2% is up 7.5% YoY — cost efficiency is improving. Net margin at 43.5% and gross margin of 43.3% — earnings take a bigger bite when COGS stays lean..

Price Ratios

P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and earnings yield

P/E Ratio
13.2x
P/S Ratio
4.9x
P/B Ratio
1.2x
At 13.2x P/E, the stock trades below market averages — potentially undervalued. P/S of 4.9x and P/B of 1.2x provide additional context. Below-market P/E with growing revenue suggests a potential buying opportunity — the stock may be undervalued relative to its fundamentals.

Assets & Liabilities

Total assets, cash, debt, book value, and leverage

Total Assets
$73.00B
Cash
$1.75B
Long-Term Debt
$6.03B
Book Value
$8.51B
D/E Ratio
0.7
Debt/EBITDA
28.6
With $73.00B in assets and $6.03B in long-term debt, the D/E of 0.7and book value of $8.51B — shows a conservative capital structure — the company has a strong financial cushion to weather downturns.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow, free cash flow, FCF margin, and earnings quality

Op. Cash Flow
$206.14M
Free Cash Flow
$193.26M
88.7%
FCF Margin
9.5%
FCF / Net Income
0.8
FCF of $193.26M on $206.14M in operating cash flow. The FCF / Net Income ratio of 0.3x indicates partial cash conversion — earnings quality needs attention.

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