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Terns Pharmaceuticals (TERN) Stock Fundamentals, Analysis & Risk Signals

Health score, competitive moat, risk signals, and key metrics at a glance.

NasdaqGS•Healthcare•Biotechnology
D
WeakMetricSide Score: 31/100
ProfitabilityProfit0/30
GrowthGrowth10/25
Balance SheetBalance17/25
Cash QualityCash4/20
Price & Volume
Market Cap $5.18B

Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops small-molecule product candidates for the treatment of oncology and obesity. The company develops TERN-701, an allosteric BCR-ABL tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) that is in Phase 1/2 clinical trial for chronic myeloid leukemia (CML), a form of cancer that starts in bone marrow. It also develops TERN-501, a thyroid hormone receptor beta agonist with enhanced metabolic stability and liver distribution that is in Phase IIa clinical trial for the treatment of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH); and TERN-801 series of small-molecule glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide receptor (GIPR) modulators for obesity. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Foster City, California. As of May 4, 2026, Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Merck Sharp & Dohme LLC.

Moat Signals

Competitive analysis based on 20 quarters of fundamental data

Pricing Power

Weak Moat

Operating margins are under pressure, averaging -2649937500.0%. The business may lack pricing power or face rising costs.'

Competitive Advantage

Weak Moat

ROE is low or negative, suggesting limited competitive advantage or capital allocation challenges.

Risk Signals

Data-driven red flags and warnings across 20 quarters

High Risk

Margin Pressure

Red Flag

The company posted negative operating margins in recent quarters — core operations are unprofitable.

Earnings Quality

Red Flag

Free cash flow has been negative in 8 of the last 8 quarters — earnings are not translating to cash.

Leverage Risk

Healthy

Limited debt-to-equity data available.

Revenue Decline

Healthy

Revenue is stable or growing over recent quarters — demand appears durable.

Cash Burn

Red Flag

The last 8 consecutive quarters had negative FCF — the company is burning cash and may need external funding.

Share Dilution

Red Flag

Shares outstanding increased 31.6% — significant dilution, likely from stock compensation or capital raises.

Metrics at a Glance

as of December 2025

Revenue & Profit

Revenue, EBITDA, operating income, net income, EPS, and shares

TTM Revenue
$0
Q. Revenue
$0
TTM EBITDA
$-110.03M
8.4%
TTM Op. Income
$-110.12M
8.1%
Q. Op. Income
$-27.60M
TTM Net Income
$-96.21M
8.3%
Q. Net Income
$-23.57M
EPS
$-0.241
Shares Out.
$97.92M
23.2%
$0 in TTM revenue declined NaN% YoY, reaching $0 last quarter. TTM EBITDA of $-110.03M and TTM operating income of $-110.12M shows growth is flowing through. However, net income is negative at $96.21M — growth is not yet reaching the bottom line. Revenue is contracting — assess whether this is cyclical or structural.

Margins

Gross, EBITDA, operating, and net margin trends

EBITDA Margin
N/A
Op. Margin
-2759800000.0%
6.4%
Net Margin
-2357100000.0%
8.1%
Op. margin of -2759800000.0% is down 164900000.0% YoY — costs are rising relative to revenue. Net margin at -2357100000.0%.

Price Ratios

P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and earnings yield

P/E Ratio
N/A
P/S Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
5.2x
P/S of 0.0x and P/B of 5.2x.

Assets & Liabilities

Total assets, cash, debt, book value, and leverage

Total Assets
$1.03B
Cash
$524.75M
Long-Term Debt
N/A
Book Value
$1.01B
D/E Ratio
N/A
Debt/EBITDA
N/A

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow, free cash flow, FCF margin, and earnings quality

Op. Cash Flow
$-19.08M
TTM Free Cash Flow
$-82.18M
17.3%
FCF Margin
N/A
FCF / Net Income
0.9
TTM FCF of $-82.18M on $-19.08M in operating cash flow. The FCF / Net Income ratio of 0.9x means earnings are well backed by actual cash — high-quality earnings.

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Cash Generation

Weak Moat

Only 0 of the last 8 quarters had positive FCF — the business may require external capital to sustain operations.

Demand Durability

Weak Moat

Revenue has been flat or declining over recent quarters, which may indicate eroding demand or competitive pressure.