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United Parcel Service (UPS) Stock Fundamentals, Analysis & Risk Signals

Health score, competitive moat, risk signals, and key metrics at a glance.

NYSE•Industrials•Integrated Freight & Logistics
C
AverageMetricSide Score: 51/100
ProfitabilityProfit20/30
GrowthGrowth6/25
Balance SheetBalance12/25
Cash QualityCash13/20
Price & Volume
Market Cap $94.06B

United Parcel Service, Inc., a package delivery and logistics provider, offers transportation and delivery services. It operates through two segments, U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers time-definite delivery services for express letters, documents, packages and palletized freight through air and ground services. The International Package segment provides small package operations in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, Canada and Latin America, and Asia. The company offers a range of guaranteed day- and time-definite international transportation services; day-definite services; cross-border ground package delivery; contract-only, e-commerce solutions for non-urgent, and cross-border shipments; and international service for urgent and palletized shipments. It also provides international air and ocean freight forwarding, contract logistics, customs brokerage and insurance, mail services, healthcare logistics, distribution, and post-sales services. United Parcel Service, Inc. was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Moat Signals

Competitive analysis based on 68 quarters of fundamental data

Pricing Power

Moderate Moat

Operating margins are positive at ~8.8% on average, but show some variability — pricing power may be sensitive to market conditions.

Competitive Advantage

Strong Moat

Consistently high ROE averaging 34.4% suggests a durable competitive advantage and efficient capital allocation.

Cash Generation

Moderate Moat

7 of the last 8 quarters generated positive FCF. The company generally funds itself but has occasional cash consumption quarters.

Demand Durability

Weak Moat

Revenue has been flat or declining over recent quarters, which may indicate eroding demand or competitive pressure.

Risk Signals

Data-driven red flags and warnings across 68 quarters

Some Concerns

Margin Pressure

Watch

Operating margins declined 9.8% — watch for continued compression, which may signal competitive or cost pressure.

Earnings Quality

Healthy

FCF covers net income by 0.9x on average — earnings are well-supported by cash generation.

Leverage Risk

Watch

Debt-to-equity has risen 20.9% recently — increasing financial risk even if the current ratio is manageable.

Revenue Decline

Watch

Revenue has softened, declining in 5 quarters. Monitor for further erosion.

Cash Burn

Healthy

Free cash flow is consistently positive — the business self-funds without external capital reliance.

Share Dilution

Healthy

Share count is stable — no significant dilution or buyback activity.

Metrics at a Glance

as of March 2026

Revenue & Profit

Revenue, EBITDA, operating income, net income, EPS, and shares

TTM Revenue
$88.32B
2.9%
Q. Revenue
$21.20B
TTM EBITDA
$11.29B
7.1%
TTM Op. Income
$7.47B
12.4%
Q. Op. Income
$1.27B
TTM Net Income
$5.25B
10.4%
Q. Net Income
$864.00M
EPS
$1.02
Shares Out.
$850.00M
$88.32B in TTM revenue declined 2.9% YoY, reaching $21.20B last quarter. TTM EBITDA of $11.29B and TTM operating income of $7.47B shows growth is flowing through. Net income of $5.25B TTM confirms the company is converting revenue into profit. Revenue is contracting — assess whether this is cyclical or structural.

Margins

Gross, EBITDA, operating, and net margin trends

EBITDA Margin
10.6%
Op. Margin
6.0%
22.7%
Net Margin
4.1%
26.0%
Op. margin of 6.0% is down 1.8% YoY — costs are rising relative to revenue. Net margin at 4.1%.

Price Ratios

P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and earnings yield

P/E Ratio
17.9x
P/S Ratio
1.1x
P/B Ratio
6.0x
At 17.9x P/E, the stock trades in line with market averages — fairly valued. P/S of 1.1x and P/B of 6.0x provide additional context. Assess whether the current multiple is justified by the company's growth and profitability trajectory.

Assets & Liabilities

Total assets, cash, debt, book value, and leverage

Total Assets
$71.81B
Cash
$5.80B
Long-Term Debt
$23.75B
Book Value
$15.76B
D/E Ratio
1.5
Debt/EBITDA
10.5
With $71.81B in assets and $23.75B in long-term debt, the D/E of 1.5and book value of $15.76B — reflects moderate leverage — debt is manageable but worth monitoring.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow, free cash flow, FCF margin, and earnings quality

Op. Cash Flow
$2.22B
Free Cash Flow
$1.19B
17.3%
FCF Margin
1.4%
FCF / Net Income
1.4
FCF of $1.19B on $2.22B in operating cash flow. The FCF / Net Income ratio of 0.2x indicates partial cash conversion — earnings quality needs attention.

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