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Upstart Holdings (UPST) Stock Fundamentals, Analysis & Risk Signals

Health score, competitive moat, risk signals, and key metrics at a glance.

NasdaqGS•Financial Services•Credit Services
C
AverageMetricSide Score: 50/100
ProfitabilityProfit5/30
GrowthGrowth23/25
Balance SheetBalance13/25
Cash QualityCash9/20
Price & Volume
Market Cap $3.04B

Upstart Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates a cloud-based artificial intelligence (AI) lending platform in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Personal Lending, Auto Lending, and Other. Its platform includes unsecured personal loans, small dollar loans, auto refinance, auto retail loans, and auto secured personal loan, and home equity lines of credit. Upstart Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in San Mateo, California.

Moat Signals

Competitive analysis based on 21 quarters of fundamental data

Pricing Power

Weak Moat

Operating margins are under pressure, averaging -7.7%. The business may lack pricing power or face rising costs.'

Competitive Advantage

Weak Moat

ROE is low or negative, suggesting limited competitive advantage or capital allocation challenges.

Risk Signals

Data-driven red flags and warnings across 21 quarters

High Risk

Margin Pressure

Red Flag

The company posted negative operating margins in recent quarters — core operations are unprofitable.

Earnings Quality

Red Flag

Free cash flow has been negative in 5 of the last 8 quarters — earnings are not translating to cash.

Leverage Risk

Watch

D/E ratio of 2.6 is elevated and rising. Monitor for further debt accumulation.

Revenue Decline

Healthy

Revenue is stable or growing over recent quarters — demand appears durable.

Cash Burn

Red Flag

The last 4 consecutive quarters had negative FCF — the company is burning cash and may need external funding.

Share Dilution

Red Flag

Shares outstanding increased 9.6% — significant dilution, likely from stock compensation or capital raises.

Metrics at a Glance

as of March 2026

Revenue & Profit

Revenue, EBITDA, operating income, net income, EPS, and shares

TTM Revenue
$1.14B
57.7%
Q. Revenue
$308.21M
TTM EBITDA
$70.03M
179.1%
TTM Op. Income
$39.61M
136.0%
Q. Op. Income
$-7.52M
TTM Net Income
$49.40M
174.4%
Q. Net Income
$-6.65M
EPS
$-0.07
Shares Out.
$96.90M
2.8%
$1.14B in TTM revenue grew 57.7% YoY, reaching $308.21M last quarter. TTM EBITDA of $70.03M and TTM operating income of $39.61M shows growth is flowing through. Net income of $49.40M TTM confirms the company is converting revenue into profit. Revenue is growing at a healthy pace — a signal to hold.

Margins

Gross, EBITDA, operating, and net margin trends

EBITDA Margin
-0.5%
Op. Margin
-2.4%
15.8%
Net Margin
-2.2%
88.0%
Op. margin of -2.4% is down 0.3% YoY — costs are rising relative to revenue. Net margin at -2.2%.

Price Ratios

P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and earnings yield

P/E Ratio
61.6x
P/S Ratio
2.7x
P/B Ratio
4.2x
At 61.6x P/E, the stock trades at a premium — the market expects above-average growth. P/S of 2.7x and P/B of 4.2x provide additional context. Assess whether the current multiple is justified by the company's growth and profitability trajectory.

Assets & Liabilities

Total assets, cash, debt, book value, and leverage

Total Assets
$2.96B
Cash
$472.93M
Long-Term Debt
$1.92B
Book Value
$733.17M
D/E Ratio
2.6
Debt/EBITDA
N/A
With $2.96B in assets and $1.92B in long-term debt, the D/E of 2.6and book value of $733.17M — indicates elevated leverage — the company has significant financial risk and may struggle in a downturn.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow, free cash flow, FCF margin, and earnings quality

Op. Cash Flow
$-133.30M
TTM Free Cash Flow
$-270.63M
325.4%
FCF Margin
-23.8%
FCF / Net Income
-5.5
TTM FCF of $-270.63M on $-133.30M in operating cash flow. The FCF / Net Income ratio of -5.5x shows cash consumption — the business is not yet self-funding.

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Cash Generation

Weak Moat

Only 3 of the last 8 quarters had positive FCF — the business may require external capital to sustain operations.

Demand Durability

Strong Moat

TTM revenue has grown consistently (7 of 7 quarters up), with ~114.7% growth over the period. Strong demand durability.