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Valero Energy (VLO) Stock Fundamentals, Analysis & Risk Signals

Health score, competitive moat, risk signals, and key metrics at a glance.

NYSE•Energy•Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
B
GoodMetricSide Score: 72/100
ProfitabilityProfit20/30
GrowthGrowth17/25
Balance SheetBalance19/25
Cash QualityCash16/20
Price & Volume
Market Cap $79.79B

Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Latin America, Mexico, Peru, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. The company produces California Reformulated Gasoline Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CARBOB) and Conventional Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CBOB) gasolines, CARB diesel, diesel, jet fuel, heating oil, and asphalt; feedstocks; aromatics; sulfur and residual fuel oil; intermediate oils; and sulfur, sweet, and sour crude oils. It sells its refined products through wholesale rack and bulk markets; and through outlets under the Valero, Beacon, Diamond Shamrock, Shamrock, Ultramar, and Texaco brands. The company also owns and operates renewable diesel and ethanol plants, as well as produces and sells renewable diesel, renewable naphtha, and neat sustainable aviation fuel under the Diamond Green Diesel brand name. In addition, it offers ethanol and various co-products, including dry distillers grains, syrup, and inedible distillers corn oil to animal feed customers. The company was formerly known as Valero Refining and Marketing Company and changed its name to Valero Energy Corporation in August 1997. Valero Energy Corporation was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.

Moat Signals

Competitive analysis based on 68 quarters of fundamental data

Pricing Power

Weak Moat

Operating margins are under pressure, averaging 2.7%. The business may lack pricing power or face rising costs.'

Competitive Advantage

Moderate Moat

ROE is positive at ~11.3% on average, adequate but below the threshold typically associated with wide moats.

Cash Generation

Strong Moat

Free cash flow is consistently positive and growing — a hallmark of a capital-light business that can self-fund growth.

Demand Durability

Weak Moat

Revenue has been flat or declining over recent quarters, which may indicate eroding demand or competitive pressure.

Risk Signals

Data-driven red flags and warnings across 68 quarters

Some Concerns

Margin Pressure

Red Flag

The company posted negative operating margins in recent quarters — core operations are unprofitable.

Earnings Quality

Healthy

FCF covers net income by 1.1x on average — earnings are well-supported by cash generation.

Leverage Risk

Healthy

D/E ratio is 0.4 — conservative capital structure with low financial risk.

Revenue Decline

Red Flag

Revenue declined in 6 of the last 7 quarters — persistent contraction signals a fundamental problem.

Cash Burn

Healthy

Free cash flow is consistently positive — the business self-funds without external capital reliance.

Share Dilution

Healthy

Shares decreased 8.0% — net buybacks are reducing shares outstanding and boosting per-share value.

Metrics at a Glance

as of March 2026

Revenue & Profit

Revenue, EBITDA, operating income, net income, EPS, and shares

TTM Revenue
$124.81B
2.8%
Q. Revenue
$32.38B
TTM EBITDA
$5.88B
381.6%
TTM Op. Income
$5.81B
394.2%
Q. Op. Income
$1.73B
TTM Net Income
$4.21B
352.3%
Q. Net Income
$1.26B
EPS
$4.22
Shares Out.
$298.00M
5.1%
$124.81B in TTM revenue declined 2.8% YoY, reaching $32.38B last quarter. TTM EBITDA of $5.88B and TTM operating income of $5.81B shows growth is flowing through. Net income of $4.21B TTM confirms the company is converting revenue into profit. Revenue is contracting — assess whether this is cyclical or structural.

Margins

Gross, EBITDA, operating, and net margin trends

Gross Margin
6.3%
278.2%
EBITDA Margin
5.4%
Op. Margin
5.3%
279.7%
Net Margin
3.9%
298.4%
Op. margin of 5.3% is up 8.3% YoY — cost efficiency is improving. Net margin at 3.9% and gross margin of 6.3% — earnings take a bigger bite when COGS stays lean..

Price Ratios

P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and earnings yield

P/E Ratio
19.0x
P/S Ratio
0.6x
P/B Ratio
3.3x
At 19.0x P/E, the stock trades in line with market averages — fairly valued. P/S of 0.6x and P/B of 3.3x provide additional context. Assess whether the current multiple is justified by the company's growth and profitability trajectory.

Assets & Liabilities

Total assets, cash, debt, book value, and leverage

Total Assets
$62.14B
Cash
$5.73B
Long-Term Debt
$10.46B
Book Value
$23.87B
D/E Ratio
0.4
Debt/EBITDA
6.0
With $62.14B in assets and $10.46B in long-term debt, the D/E of 0.4and book value of $23.87B — shows a conservative capital structure — the company has a strong financial cushion to weather downturns.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow, free cash flow, FCF margin, and earnings quality

Op. Cash Flow
$1.39B
Free Cash Flow
$1.23B
319.8%
FCF Margin
1.0%
FCF / Net Income
1.0
FCF of $1.23B on $1.39B in operating cash flow. The FCF / Net Income ratio of 0.3x indicates partial cash conversion — earnings quality needs attention.

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