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Valvoline (VVV) Stock Fundamentals, Analysis & Risk Signals

Health score, competitive moat, risk signals, and key metrics at a glance.

NYSE•Consumer Cyclical•Auto & Truck Dealerships
C
AverageMetricSide Score: 59/100
ProfitabilityProfit25/30
GrowthGrowth14/25
Balance SheetBalance11/25
Cash QualityCash9/20
Price & Volume
Market Cap $4.92B

Valvoline Inc. provides automotive preventive maintenance through its retail stores in the United States and Canada. The company offers oil changes; battery, bulb, and wiper replacements; tire rotations; and other maintenance services. It also operates and franchises service centers and retail locations. The company was founded in 1866 and is headquartered in Lexington, Kentucky.

Moat Signals

Competitive analysis based on 37 quarters of fundamental data

Pricing Power

Moderate Moat

Operating margins are positive at ~20.7% on average, but show some variability — pricing power may be sensitive to market conditions.

Competitive Advantage

Strong Moat

Consistently high ROE averaging 87.8% suggests a durable competitive advantage and efficient capital allocation.

Risk Signals

Data-driven red flags and warnings across 37 quarters

High Risk

Margin Pressure

Red Flag

Operating margins dropped 41.3% over recent quarters — a sharp decline suggesting serious cost or pricing challenges.

Earnings Quality

Red Flag

FCF consistently trails net income (avg 0.4x) — earnings may be inflated by non-cash items or aggressive accounting.

Leverage Risk

Red Flag

D/E ratio is 4.6 — dangerously high. The company is heavily leveraged and vulnerable to rising rates or cash flow dips.

Revenue Decline

Healthy

Revenue is stable or growing over recent quarters — demand appears durable.

Cash Burn

Healthy

Free cash flow is consistently positive — the business self-funds without external capital reliance.

Share Dilution

Healthy

Share count is stable — no significant dilution or buyback activity.

Metrics at a Glance

as of March 2026

Revenue & Profit

Revenue, EBITDA, operating income, net income, EPS, and shares

TTM Revenue
$1.86B
11.0%
Q. Revenue
$503.80M
TTM EBITDA
$417.60M
24.2%
TTM Op. Income
$283.50M
35.4%
Q. Op. Income
$86.00M
TTM Net Income
$93.50M
65.0%
Q. Net Income
$44.80M
EPS
$0.35
Shares Out.
$127.80M
0.2%
$1.86B in TTM revenue grew 11.0% YoY, reaching $503.80M last quarter. TTM EBITDA of $417.60M and TTM operating income of $283.50M shows growth is flowing through. Net income of $93.50M TTM confirms the company is converting revenue into profit. Revenue is growing at a healthy pace — a signal to hold.

Margins

Gross, EBITDA, operating, and net margin trends

Gross Margin
37.1%
0.6%
EBITDA Margin
24.5%
Op. Margin
17.1%
2.9%
Net Margin
8.9%
4.6%
Op. margin of 17.1% is up 0.5% YoY — cost efficiency is improving. Net margin at 8.9% and gross margin of 37.1% — earnings take a bigger bite when COGS stays lean..

Price Ratios

P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and earnings yield

P/E Ratio
52.6x
P/S Ratio
2.6x
P/B Ratio
13.9x
At 52.6x P/E, the stock trades at a premium — the market expects above-average growth. P/S of 2.6x and P/B of 13.9x provide additional context. Assess whether the current multiple is justified by the company's growth and profitability trajectory.

Assets & Liabilities

Total assets, cash, debt, book value, and leverage

Total Assets
$3.42B
Cash
$84.70M
Long-Term Debt
$1.63B
Book Value
$353.10M
D/E Ratio
4.6
Debt/EBITDA
13.2
With $3.42B in assets and $1.63B in long-term debt, the D/E of 4.6and book value of $353.10M — indicates elevated leverage — the company has significant financial risk and may struggle in a downturn.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow, free cash flow, FCF margin, and earnings quality

Op. Cash Flow
$95.40M
TTM Free Cash Flow
$105.10M
153.9%
FCF Margin
5.7%
FCF / Net Income
1.1
TTM FCF of $105.10M on $95.40M in operating cash flow. The FCF / Net Income ratio of 1.1x means earnings are well backed by actual cash — high-quality earnings.

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Cash Generation

Moderate Moat

6 of the last 8 quarters generated positive FCF. The company generally funds itself but has occasional cash consumption quarters.

Demand Durability

Strong Moat

TTM revenue has grown consistently (7 of 7 quarters up), with ~18.1% growth over the period. Strong demand durability.