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Warner Music Group (WMG) Stock Fundamentals, Analysis & Risk Signals

Health score, competitive moat, risk signals, and key metrics at a glance.

NasdaqGS•Communication Services•Entertainment
B
GoodMetricSide Score: 77/100
ProfitabilityProfit30/30
GrowthGrowth20/25
Balance SheetBalance11/25
Cash QualityCash16/20
Price & Volume
Market Cap $4.15B

Warner Music Group Corp. operates as a music entertainment company in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally. It operates through Recorded Music and Music Publishing segments. The company is involved in the discovery and development of recording artists, as well as related marketing, promotion, distribution, sale, and licensing of music created by recording artists; markets its music catalog through compilations and reissuances of previously released music and video titles, as well as previously unreleased materials. It also owns and acquires rights to approximately two million musical compositions comprising pop hits, American standards, folk songs, and motion picture and theatrical compositions, as well as administers the music and soundtracks of various third-party television and film producers and studios. In addition, the company conducts its operation primarily through a collection of record labels, such as Asylum, Big Beat, Canvasback, East West, Erato, FFRR, Nonesuch, Parlophone, Reprise, Sire, Spinnin' Records, and Warner Classics and Warner Records Nashville. Further, it markets, distributes, and sells music and video products to retailers and wholesale distributors; independent labels to retail and wholesale distributors; and various distribution centers and ventures, as well as retail outlets, online physical retailers, streaming services, and download services. Its catalog includes songwriters and composers; and various genres, including pop, rock, jazz, classical, country, R&B, hip-hop, rap, reggae, Latin, folk, alternative, blues, gospel, and other Christian music. The company was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Moat Signals

Competitive analysis based on 56 quarters of fundamental data

Pricing Power

Strong Moat

Operating margins are expanding at ~11.9%, suggesting durable pricing power and cost discipline.

Competitive Advantage

Strong Moat

Consistently high ROE averaging 72.6% suggests a durable competitive advantage and efficient capital allocation.

Risk Signals

Data-driven red flags and warnings across 56 quarters

Some Concerns

Margin Pressure

Healthy

Margins are stable or improving at ~12.1% — no sign of cost or pricing stress.

Earnings Quality

Healthy

FCF covers net income by 1.8x on average — earnings are well-supported by cash generation.

Leverage Risk

Red Flag

D/E ratio is 6.4 — dangerously high. The company is heavily leveraged and vulnerable to rising rates or cash flow dips.

Revenue Decline

Healthy

Revenue is stable or growing over recent quarters — demand appears durable.

Cash Burn

Healthy

Free cash flow is consistently positive — the business self-funds without external capital reliance.

Share Dilution

Watch

Shares outstanding rose 3.5% — mild dilution. Compare to earnings growth to assess net per-share impact.

Metrics at a Glance

as of March 2026

Revenue & Profit

Revenue, EBITDA, operating income, net income, EPS, and shares

TTM Revenue
$7.13B
12.6%
Q. Revenue
$1.73B
TTM EBITDA
$1.27B
18.2%
TTM Op. Income
$864.00M
18.0%
Q. Op. Income
$264.00M
TTM Net Income
$452.00M
Q. Net Income
$183.00M
EPS
$0.35
Shares Out.
$146.57M
1.1%
$7.13B in TTM revenue grew 12.6% YoY, reaching $1.73B last quarter. TTM EBITDA of $1.27B and TTM operating income of $864.00M shows growth is flowing through. Net income of $452.00M TTM confirms the company is converting revenue into profit. Revenue is growing at a healthy pace — a signal to hold.

Margins

Gross, EBITDA, operating, and net margin trends

Gross Margin
46.3%
0.8%
EBITDA Margin
21.2%
Op. Margin
15.2%
34.6%
Net Margin
10.6%
335.5%
Op. margin of 15.2% is up 3.9% YoY — cost efficiency is improving. Net margin at 10.6% and gross margin of 46.3% — earnings take a bigger bite when COGS stays lean..

Price Ratios

P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and earnings yield

P/E Ratio
9.2x
P/S Ratio
0.6x
P/B Ratio
5.6x
At 9.2x P/E, the stock trades below market averages — potentially undervalued. P/S of 0.6x and P/B of 5.6x provide additional context. Below-market P/E with growing revenue suggests a potential buying opportunity — the stock may be undervalued relative to its fundamentals.

Assets & Liabilities

Total assets, cash, debt, book value, and leverage

Total Assets
$10.61B
Cash
$741.00M
Long-Term Debt
$4.72B
Book Value
$738.00M
D/E Ratio
6.4
Debt/EBITDA
12.9
With $10.61B in assets and $4.72B in long-term debt, the D/E of 6.4and book value of $738.00M — indicates elevated leverage — the company has significant financial risk and may struggle in a downturn.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow, free cash flow, FCF margin, and earnings quality

Op. Cash Flow
$126.00M
Free Cash Flow
$99.00M
200.0%
FCF Margin
1.4%
FCF / Net Income
0.5
FCF of $99.00M on $126.00M in operating cash flow. The FCF / Net Income ratio of 0.2x indicates partial cash conversion — earnings quality needs attention.

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Cash Generation

Moderate Moat

8 of the last 8 quarters generated positive FCF. The company generally funds itself but has occasional cash consumption quarters.

Demand Durability

Moderate Moat

Revenue shows resilience with 5 of 7 quarters posting growth — demand is generally stable but has seen some soft patches.