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Watsco (WSO) Stock Fundamentals, Analysis & Risk Signals

Health score, competitive moat, risk signals, and key metrics at a glance.

NYSE•Industrials•Industrial Distribution
C
AverageMetricSide Score: 53/100
ProfitabilityProfit20/30
GrowthGrowth6/25
Balance SheetBalance21/25
Cash QualityCash6/20
Price & Volume
Market Cap $15.35B

Watsco, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution of air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration equipment, and related parts and supplies in the United States, Canada, Latin America, and the Caribbean. It distributes equipment, including residential ducted and ductless air conditioners, such as gas, electric, and oil furnaces; commercial air conditioning and heating equipment systems; and other specialized equipment. The company also offers parts comprising replacement compressors, evaporator coils, motors, and other component parts; and supplies, such as thermostats, insulation materials, refrigerants, ductworks, grills, registers, sheet metals, tools, copper tubing, concrete pads, tapes, adhesives, and other ancillary supplies, as well as plumbing and bathroom remodeling supplies. It serves contractors and dealers that service the replacement and new construction markets for residential and light commercial central air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration systems. Watsco, Inc. was incorporated in 1956 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida.

Moat Signals

Competitive analysis based on 57 quarters of fundamental data

Pricing Power

Moderate Moat

Operating margins are positive at ~10.4% on average, but show some variability — pricing power may be sensitive to market conditions.

Competitive Advantage

Strong Moat

Consistently high ROE averaging 22.0% suggests a durable competitive advantage and efficient capital allocation.

Risk Signals

Data-driven red flags and warnings across 57 quarters

Some Concerns

Margin Pressure

Watch

Operating margins declined 11.8% — watch for continued compression, which may signal competitive or cost pressure.

Earnings Quality

Watch

FCF/Net Income has dropped below 0.7x in 4 quarters — monitor for earnings quality deterioration.

Leverage Risk

Healthy

D/E ratio is 0.1 — conservative capital structure with low financial risk.

Revenue Decline

Watch

Revenue has softened, declining in 4 quarters. Monitor for further erosion.

Cash Burn

Watch

FCF turned negative in 3 of the last 8 quarters — occasional cash consumption.

Share Dilution

Watch

Shares outstanding rose 4.1% — mild dilution. Compare to earnings growth to assess net per-share impact.

Metrics at a Glance

as of March 2026

Revenue & Profit

Revenue, EBITDA, operating income, net income, EPS, and shares

TTM Revenue
$7.19B
10.0%
Q. Revenue
$1.53B
TTM EBITDA
$772.70M
17.9%
TTM Op. Income
$729.00M
19.2%
Q. Op. Income
$110.18M
TTM Net Income
$504.32M
17.4%
Q. Net Income
$79.07M
EPS
$1.87
Shares Out.
$37.93M
1.0%
$7.19B in TTM revenue declined 10.0% YoY, reaching $1.53B last quarter. TTM EBITDA of $772.70M and TTM operating income of $729.00M shows growth is flowing through. Net income of $504.32M TTM confirms the company is converting revenue into profit. Revenue is contracting — assess whether this is cyclical or structural.

Margins

Gross, EBITDA, operating, and net margin trends

Gross Margin
27.9%
6.4%
EBITDA Margin
7.9%
Op. Margin
7.2%
38.0%
Net Margin
5.2%
34.9%
Op. margin of 7.2% is down 4.4% YoY — costs are rising relative to revenue. Net margin at 5.2% and gross margin of 27.9% — earnings take a bigger bite when COGS stays lean..

Price Ratios

P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and earnings yield

P/E Ratio
30.4x
P/S Ratio
2.1x
P/B Ratio
5.6x
At 30.4x P/E, the stock trades at a premium — the market expects above-average growth. P/S of 2.1x and P/B of 5.6x provide additional context. The premium P/E is not backed by strong revenue growth — the stock may be overvalued.

Assets & Liabilities

Total assets, cash, debt, book value, and leverage

Total Assets
$4.65B
Cash
$392.68M
Long-Term Debt
$368.51M
Book Value
$2.76B
D/E Ratio
0.1
Debt/EBITDA
3.0
With $4.65B in assets and $368.51M in long-term debt, the D/E of 0.1and book value of $2.76B — shows a conservative capital structure — the company has a strong financial cushion to weather downturns.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow, free cash flow, FCF margin, and earnings quality

Op. Cash Flow
$-18.91M
Free Cash Flow
$-25.87M
111.6%
FCF Margin
-0.4%
FCF / Net Income
-0.3
FCF of $-25.87M on $-18.91M in operating cash flow. The FCF / Net Income ratio of -0.1x shows cash consumption — the business is not yet self-funding.

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Cash Generation

Moderate Moat

5 of the last 8 quarters generated positive FCF. The company generally funds itself but has occasional cash consumption quarters.

Demand Durability

Weak Moat

Revenue has been flat or declining over recent quarters, which may indicate eroding demand or competitive pressure.