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XPO (XPO) Stock Fundamentals, Analysis & Risk Signals

Health score, competitive moat, risk signals, and key metrics at a glance.

NYSE•Industrials•Trucking
B
GoodMetricSide Score: 61/100
ProfitabilityProfit20/30
GrowthGrowth12/25
Balance SheetBalance16/25
Cash QualityCash13/20
Price & Volume
Market Cap $24.14B

XPO, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides freight transportation services in the United States, North America, France, the United Kingdom, and rest of Europe. The company operates in two segments, North American Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) and European Transportation. The North American LTL segment provides shippers with geographic density and day-definite domestic and cross-border services to the U.S., Mexico, Canada, and the Caribbean. The European Transportation segment offers dedicated truckload, LTL, truck brokerage, managed transportation, last mile, freight forwarding, and warehousing and multimodal solutions to an extensive base of customers within the consumer, trade, and industrial markets. The company was formerly known as XPO Logistics, Inc. and changed its name to XPO, Inc. in December 2022. The company was founded in 1989 and is based in Greenwich, Connecticut.

Moat Signals

Competitive analysis based on 59 quarters of fundamental data

Pricing Power

Moderate Moat

Operating margins are positive at ~8.3% on average, but show some variability — pricing power may be sensitive to market conditions.

Competitive Advantage

Strong Moat

Consistently high ROE averaging 21.0% suggests a durable competitive advantage and efficient capital allocation.

Cash Generation

Strong Moat

Free cash flow is consistently positive and growing — a hallmark of a capital-light business that can self-fund growth.

Demand Durability

Moderate Moat

Revenue shows resilience with 5 of 7 quarters posting growth — demand is generally stable but has seen some soft patches.

Risk Signals

Data-driven red flags and warnings across 59 quarters

Low Risk

Margin Pressure

Healthy

Margins are stable or improving at ~8.2% — no sign of cost or pricing stress.

Earnings Quality

Watch

FCF/Net Income has dropped below 0.7x in 4 quarters — monitor for earnings quality deterioration.

Leverage Risk

Healthy

D/E ratio is 1.7 — conservative capital structure with low financial risk.

Revenue Decline

Healthy

Revenue is stable or growing over recent quarters — demand appears durable.

Cash Burn

Healthy

Free cash flow is consistently positive — the business self-funds without external capital reliance.

Share Dilution

Healthy

Share count is stable — no significant dilution or buyback activity.

Metrics at a Glance

as of March 2026

Revenue & Profit

Revenue, EBITDA, operating income, net income, EPS, and shares

TTM Revenue
$8.30B
3.6%
Q. Revenue
$2.10B
TTM EBITDA
$1.21B
3.3%
TTM Op. Income
$679.00M
0.9%
Q. Op. Income
$174.00M
TTM Net Income
$348.00M
10.5%
Q. Net Income
$101.00M
EPS
$0.87
Shares Out.
$117.00M
$8.30B in TTM revenue grew 3.6% YoY, reaching $2.10B last quarter. TTM EBITDA of $1.21B and TTM operating income of $679.00M shows growth is flowing through. Net income of $348.00M TTM confirms the company is converting revenue into profit. Revenue is growing modestly — monitor for acceleration or deceleration.

Margins

Gross, EBITDA, operating, and net margin trends

EBITDA Margin
14.6%
Op. Margin
8.3%
7.4%
Net Margin
4.8%
36.5%
Op. margin of 8.3% is up 0.6% YoY — cost efficiency is improving. Net margin at 4.8%.

Price Ratios

P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, and earnings yield

P/E Ratio
69.4x
P/S Ratio
2.9x
P/B Ratio
13.0x
At 69.4x P/E, the stock trades at a premium — the market expects above-average growth. P/S of 2.9x and P/B of 13.0x provide additional context. The premium P/E is not backed by strong revenue growth — the stock may be overvalued.

Assets & Liabilities

Total assets, cash, debt, book value, and leverage

Total Assets
$8.18B
Cash
$237.00M
Long-Term Debt
$3.17B
Book Value
$1.85B
D/E Ratio
1.7
Debt/EBITDA
10.4
With $8.18B in assets and $3.17B in long-term debt, the D/E of 1.7and book value of $1.85B — reflects moderate leverage — debt is manageable but worth monitoring.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow, free cash flow, FCF margin, and earnings quality

Op. Cash Flow
$183.00M
Free Cash Flow
$72.00M
226.3%
FCF Margin
0.9%
FCF / Net Income
0.7
FCF of $72.00M on $183.00M in operating cash flow. The FCF / Net Income ratio of 0.2x indicates partial cash conversion — earnings quality needs attention.

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